Valhi (VHI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VHI - Valhi, Inc.
$13.97
-0.40 (-2.78%)
▼
5d:
-2.51%
30d:
-16.8%
90d:
+2.95%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.42
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VHI is currently trading at $13.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.36 to $16.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.0) is in line with its historical norms (4.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2500% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.36 -
$16.56
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.1% above Wall St target ($12.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.36 -
$16.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.87
Resistance Level
$15.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.03
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(-14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2500.0%
Profit Margin
-2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.0 vs 4.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.82
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$13.66
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$13.51
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
$14.10
(+1%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.0 to 4.2
Stabilization Target:
$14.57
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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