Valhi (VHI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VHI - Valhi, Inc.

INDUSTRIAL INORGANIC CHEMICALS
$15.21
-0.20 (-1.30%) ▼
5d: -5.23%
30d: -15.87%
90d: +5.63%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VHI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.42
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.68
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VHI is currently trading at $15.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.21 to $18.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.4) is in line with its historical norms (4.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: VHI scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $16.21 - $18.35
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 48.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 21.1% above Wall St target ($12.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.2%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $16.21 - $18.35
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.93
Resistance Level $17.50
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.38
Wall Street Target $12.00 (-21.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 2500.0%
Profit Margin -2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.7% premium
PE vs Historical 4.4 vs 4.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.47 (+2%)
2-Year Target $15.73 (+3%)
3-Year Target $16.00 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→4) PE COMPRESSION $15.33 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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