VHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VHI - Valhi, Inc.

INDUSTRIAL INORGANIC CHEMICALS
$13.44
-0.37 (-2.68%) ▼
5d: -1.32%
30d: -6.8%
90d: -10.7%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 3d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.45
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.08
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VHI is currently trading at $13.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.46 to $14.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.9) is in line with its historical norms (4.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $13.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: VHI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $13.46 - $14.30
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 10.7% above Wall St target ($12.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.46 - $14.30
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.06
Resistance Level $14.09
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.87
Wall Street Target $12.00 (-10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -88.1%
Profit Margin -3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 3.9 vs 4.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.29 (-1%)
2-Year Target $13.15 (-2%)
3-Year Target $13.00 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→4) $13.43 (0%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.9 to 4.0
Stabilization Target: $13.88 (+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.3%
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 3:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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