VHI
Valhi, Inc.
INDUSTRIAL INORGANIC CHEMICALS
Valhi (VHI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$16.26
+0.04 (+0.25%)
▲
5d:
+11.29%
30d:
+13.71%
90d:
-0.67%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (15%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$14.00 – $15.27
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.7x
FAIR
vs 4.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$12.00
-26.2% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$13.82 / $16.88
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VHI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.42
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VHI is currently trading at $16.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.00 to $15.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.7) compared to its historical average (4.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.82, while resistance sits at $16.88.
Market Sentiment: VHI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.82, while resistance sits at $16.88.
Market Sentiment: VHI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.00 -
$15.27
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
15.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$14.00 -
$15.27
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$13.82
Resistance Level
$16.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.5% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 26.2% above Wall St target ($12.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.69
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(-26.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2500.0%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
4.7 vs 4.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.91
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$17.59
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$18.29
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.39
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (78x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 78.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.21
Bull Case
$19.63
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 82.0
Base Case
$16.26
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 78.1
Bear Case
$12.44
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 70.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VHI)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message suggests that VHI, a thinly traded stock, is being lifted by Kronos and has the potential to recover to previous highs of 40/share.
Key Retail Themes:
stock recovery
Kronos influence
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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