Valhi (VHI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VHI - Valhi, Inc.

INDUSTRIAL INORGANIC CHEMICALS
$18.26
0.11 (0.61%) ▲
5d: +1.22%
30d: +11.55%
90d: +26.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: VHI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.93
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.38
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VHI is currently trading at $18.26, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.92 to $18.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 5.3) compared to its historical average (4.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.43, while resistance sits at $19.00.

Market Sentiment: VHI scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $15.92 - $18.38
Company Quality Score 37/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 33.3%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (19/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 34.3% above Wall St target ($12.00)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.5% growth expectation is conservative given 2500% recent growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $15.92 - $18.38
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $17.43
Resistance Level $19.00
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.26
Wall Street Target $12.00 (-34.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 2500.0%
Profit Margin -2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.5% premium
PE vs Historical 5.3 vs 4.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.81 (+9%)
2-Year Target $21.50 (+18%)
3-Year Target $23.32 (+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 5→4) PE COMPRESSION $18.17 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:51 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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