VHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VHI - Valhi, Inc.

INDUSTRIAL INORGANIC CHEMICALS
$13.47
0.07 (0.52%) ▲
5d: -7.68%
30d: +8.02%
90d: -4.33%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.45
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.08
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VHI is currently trading at $13.47, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.10 to $14.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.9) is in line with its historical norms (4.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.52, while resistance sits at $14.91.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $13.10 - $14.56
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 10.4% above Wall St target ($12.00)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.7% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.10 - $14.56
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.52
Resistance Level $14.91
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.86
Wall Street Target $12.00 (-10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -88.1%
Profit Margin -3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 3.9 vs 4.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.25 (-1%)
2-Year Target $13.11 (-2%)
3-Year Target $12.96 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→4) $13.43 (+0%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.9 to 4.0
Stabilization Target: $13.88 (+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.6%
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:28 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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