Why is VLY Down Today?

VLY
$12.36
▼ -2.06% ($-0.25)
Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 3:35 PM ET (835 min ago)

About Valley National Bancorp

Valley National Bancorp is a bank holding company that offers a full suite of national and regional banking solutions through various commercial, private banking, retail, insurance, and wealth management financial services products. It provides personalized service and customized solutions to assist...

Sector: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
Market Cap: $5.92B
Forward P/E: 8.5
52-Week Range: $9.64 - $15.20
Employees: 3,732

Overall Confidence: 65%

65% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

SECTOR 65% Confidence
🎯 NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS sector moving together
This appears to be a sector-wide move. The NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS sector is down 1.4% on average.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.2x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS sector: -1.4%

This appears to be a sector-wide move. Most NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS stocks are moving in the same direction.

Market Comparison

VLY is significantly underperforming the market (-2.2% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.18%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.31%
VLY
This Stock
-2.06%
vs S&P 500: -2.24%
vs Nasdaq: -2.37%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, VLY is expected to trade between:
$11.99 - $12.61

Key Level to Watch

$11.74 support
Watch for breakdown below $12.36

🔔 Get VLY Alerts

We'll notify you when VLY's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 3:35 PM (835 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Historical Context

VLY has moved more than 3.0% down on 6 occasions in the past year.

16.7%
Continuation Rate
1/6 times continued down
+1.09%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Feb 27, 2026 (-5.7%) → Next day: +1.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is VLY stock down today?

This appears to be a sector-wide move. The NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS sector is down 1.4% on average.

Is VLY stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, VLY shows 65% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the VLY stock price target?

VLY is currently trading at $12.36. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $11.99 - $12.61. See long-term price prediction →

Will VLY stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that VLY's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $11.74 (support).

Is VLY stock oversold or overbought?

VLY's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 28.7. This indicates oversold conditions - the stock may be due for a bounce as selling pressure appears exhausted.

What is the momentum for VLY stock?

VLY's 10-day momentum indicator is at -1.0. Negative momentum - the stock has mild downward pressure which may continue short-term.

Is VLY outperforming or underperforming the market?

VLY (-2.06%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-2.2% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.18%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.31%.

What does MACD indicate for VLY?

VLY's MACD (-0.39) is currently below the signal line (-0.33), indicating a bearish trend. This technical signal suggests selling pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 45.0) is strong.

Is VLY in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, VLY is in a bearish trend. The price ($12.36) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($13.4) and 50-day SMA ($13.99). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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