VMBS Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF

VMBS ETF Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$44.83
-0.01 (-0.02%) â–ŧ
5d: -1.71% 30d: -0.22% 90d: -2.78%
Open in Live Scanner 70/30 Portfolio Builder Updated Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$44.58 – $45.46
Position: FAIR
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$44.78 / $45.72
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: VMBS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VMBS is currently trading at $44.83, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.58 to $45.46.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VMBS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $44.58 - $45.46
Company Quality Score 40/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $44.58 - $45.46
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $44.78
Resistance Level $45.72
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 13, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VMBS)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2022
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on VMBS are bullish (sentiment score +0.36) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 6:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
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