VMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VMC - Vulcan Materials Company(Holding Company)
$285.30
3.46 (1.23%)
▲
5d:
+3.5%
30d:
-0.84%
90d:
-3.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VMC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VMC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$444.03
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$275.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VMC is currently trading at $285.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $269.81 to $294.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.4) is in line with its historical norms (27.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $287.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VMC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $328.81 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $287.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VMC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $328.81 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$269.81 -
$294.42
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($328.81)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$269.81 -
$294.42
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$257.89
Resistance Level
$287.42
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.35
Wall Street Target
$328.81
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.7%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.4 vs 27.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$279.88
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$274.56
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$269.34
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→28)
$285.20
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.3, Growth: 17.0%)
$456.41
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 17.0%)
$379.52
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 17.0%)
$322.59
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.44
Bull Case
$389.59
(+41%)
Analyst growth 28.5%, PE expands to 35.9
Base Case
$354.17
(+28%)
Market implied 28.5%, PE stable at 32.7
Bear Case
$187.44
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.3 to 27.9
Stabilization Target:
$302.10
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 9:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VMC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2026-02-23
Melissa H Anderson
SELL
1137 shares
2026-02-20
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