VRRM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VRRM - Verra Mobility Corporation Class A Common Stock
$4.40
-0.07 (-1.57%)
▼
5d:
-11.65%
30d:
-67.09%
90d:
-69.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VRRM is down 11.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VRRM is down 11.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.36
Based on -6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.19
15.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VRRM is currently trading at $4.40, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.93 to $10.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.3) compared to its historical average (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 27.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRRM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.40, while resistance sits at $5.60.
Market Sentiment: VRRM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.71 (+117.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRRM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.40, while resistance sits at $5.60.
Market Sentiment: VRRM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.71 (+117.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$2.93 -
$10.76
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
MODERATE
Confidence Score
85.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VRRM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: Trading 117.3% below Wall St target ($9.71)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.93 -
$10.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.40
Resistance Level
$5.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.35
Wall Street Target
$9.71
(+117.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.0%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-27.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.4 vs 11.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-27.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.02
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.62
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.26
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→11)
$8.47
(+89%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -16.2%)
$16.32
(+265%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: -16.2%)
$3.26
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.7, Growth: -16.2%)
$2.77
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (5x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 5.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.82
Bull Case
$6.12
(+37%)
Analyst growth 25.4%, PE expands to 6.0
Base Case
$5.57
(+25%)
Market implied 25.4%, PE stable at 5.4
Bear Case
$3.02
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.3 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$11.62
(+159.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+159.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VRRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VRRM price and gamma walls.
