VRRM
Verra Mobility Corporation Class A Common Stock
TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
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Verra Mobility (VRRM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$2.08
+0.02 (+0.73%)
▲
5d:
-16.33%
30d:
-31.06%
90d:
-56.86%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
0d
Protect VRRM Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$2.46 – $3.14
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
2.8x
CHEAP
vs 8.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$3.50
+69.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$1.97 / $3.37
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VRRM is down 16.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.41
Based on -15.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VRRM is currently trading at $2.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.46 to $3.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.8) compared to its historical average (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 30.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRRM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.97, while resistance sits at $3.37.
Market Sentiment: VRRM scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.50 (+69.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRRM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.97, while resistance sits at $3.37.
Market Sentiment: VRRM scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.50 (+69.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.46 -
$3.14
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$2.46 -
$3.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$1.97
Resistance Level
$3.37
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding VRRM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 69.9% below Wall St target ($3.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.79
Wall Street Target
$3.50
(+69.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-30.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.8 vs 8.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-30.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.85
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.67
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.50
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→8)
$4.46
(+117%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -35.6%)
$10.68
(+418%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.8, Growth: -35.6%)
$1.50
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.4, Growth: -35.6%)
$1.28
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$4.69
(+128%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case
$4.26
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$1.45
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.8 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$6.12
(+197.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+197.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VRRM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on StockTwits regarding a potential $VRRM government contract.
Key Retail Themes:
government contracts
growth potential
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VRRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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