Verra Mobility (VRRM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VRRM - Verra Mobility Corporation Class A Common Stock
$3.55
-0.10 (-2.74%)
▼
5d:
-15.48%
30d:
-24.47%
90d:
-21.11%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 3, 2026 at $4.20 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VRRM is down 15.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VRRM is down 15.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.29
Based on -6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.90
9.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VRRM is currently trading at $3.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.02 to $5.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.7) compared to its historical average (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 26.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRRM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VRRM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+97.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRRM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VRRM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+97.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.02 -
$5.05
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VRRM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 97.2% below Wall St target ($7.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.02 -
$5.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.50
Resistance Level
$4.61
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.74
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+97.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.0%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-26.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.7 vs 9.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-26.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.19
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.88
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.59
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→9)
$6.50
(+83%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -16.9%)
$13.94
(+293%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.7, Growth: -16.9%)
$2.59
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.2, Growth: -16.9%)
$2.20
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.27
Bull Case
$8.03
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$7.30
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$2.48
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.7 to 9.4
Stabilization Target:
$8.91
(+151.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+151.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VRRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced VRRM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VRRM price and gamma walls.
