Vitesse Energy, Inc.. (VTS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTS - Vitesse Energy, Inc..
$18.76
0.12 (0.64%)
▲
5d:
+7.75%
30d:
+15.3%
90d:
+11.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VTS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VTS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.46
12.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTS is currently trading at $18.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.21 to $17.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.4) compared to its historical average (40.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VTS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+11.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VTS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+11.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.21 -
$17.84
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.21 -
$17.84
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.00
Resistance Level
$18.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.42
Wall Street Target
$21.00
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.9%
Profit Margin
-4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.4 vs 40.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.88
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.20
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.68
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→40)
$20.91
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.4, Growth: 255.0%)
$63.31
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 255.0%)
$48.33
(+158%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 255.0%)
$41.08
(+119%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.4 to 40.4
Stabilization Target:
$28.68
(+52.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+52.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 10:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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