VTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTS - Vitesse Energy, Inc..
$15.92
0.45 (2.91%)
▲
5d:
+6.06%
30d:
-11.11%
90d:
-13.2%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VTS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -29.0% annual earnings decline despite 82% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VTS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -29.0% annual earnings decline despite 82% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.32
45.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTS is currently trading at $15.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.39 to $16.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.4) compared to its historical average (45.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 29.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 82.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VTS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.75 (+49.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VTS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.75 (+49.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.39 -
$16.99
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.2% below Wall St target ($23.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.39 -
$16.99
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.91
Resistance Level
$18.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.41
Wall Street Target
$23.75
(+49.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
82.4%
Profit Margin
-7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-29.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 45.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-29.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.33
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$12.90
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$11.61
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→46)
$32.39
(+103%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 361.9%)
$71.30
(+348%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 361.9%)
$53.73
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 361.9%)
$45.67
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 45.8
Stabilization Target:
$44.43
(+179.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+179.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Cree
SELL
1440 shares
2026-01-21
Robert W Gerrity
SELL
36785 shares
2026-01-21
Brian Cree
SELL
18000 shares
2026-01-20
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