Waystar (WAY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WAY - Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
$28.98
0.14 (0.49%)
▲
5d:
+2.62%
30d:
+17.04%
90d:
+28.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WAY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WAY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.13
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WAY is currently trading at $28.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.08 to $27.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WAY scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.09 (+18.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WAY scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.09 (+18.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.08 -
$27.42
Company Quality Score
23/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WAY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.09)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 23/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.08 -
$27.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.97
Resistance Level
$29.25
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.34
Wall Street Target
$34.09
(+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 14.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.73
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$30.66
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$31.61
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.6%)
$53.30
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 12.6%)
$41.18
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 12.6%)
$35.00
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case
$63.38
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 44.0
Base Case
$57.62
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 40.0
Bear Case
$19.59
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced WAY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WAY price and gamma walls.
