WDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WDS - Woodside Energy Group Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Ordinary Share
$23.62
-0.01 (-0.04%)
▼
5d:
+2.43%
30d:
+5.97%
90d:
+5.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WDS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WDS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.20
Based on -0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDS is currently trading at $23.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.98 to $23.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WDS scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WDS scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$21.98 -
$23.45
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.53)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.98 -
$23.45
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.46
Resistance Level
$23.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.44
Wall Street Target
$24.53
(+3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Profit Margin
22.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 14.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.53
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$21.50
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$20.51
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$23.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -5.3%)
$32.01
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: -5.3%)
$20.05
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: -5.3%)
$17.05
(-28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.60
Bull Case
$30.84
(+31%)
Analyst growth 18.6%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case
$28.03
(+19%)
Market implied 18.6%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$16.07
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$27.14
(+14.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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