WDS
Woodside Energy Group Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Ordinary Share
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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WDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.23
+0.16 (+0.76%)
▲
5d:
-1.3%
30d:
-8.49%
90d:
-6.89%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (88%)
Quality Score
59/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$21.67 – $23.48
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.9x
CHEAP
vs 13.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$24.33
+15.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$20.70 / $23.68
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WDS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.53
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDS is currently trading at $21.23, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.67 to $23.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WDS scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.32 (+15.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WDS scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.32 (+15.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.67 -
$23.48
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$21.67 -
$23.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$20.70
Resistance Level
$23.68
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.32)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.93
Wall Street Target
$24.33
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Profit Margin
22.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 13.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.51
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$18.07
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$16.73
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$20.97
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.9%)
$40.50
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 1.9%)
$22.29
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 1.9%)
$18.95
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.61
Bull Case
$27.61
(+31%)
Analyst growth 19.7%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$25.10
(+19%)
Market implied 19.7%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$14.26
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$26.40
(+25.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (WDS)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Oct 31, 2025
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on WDS are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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