WDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WDS - Woodside Energy Group Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Ordinary Share

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
$23.69
-0.20 (-0.84%) â–ŧ
5d: -0.13%
30d: +3.18%
90d: +9.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: WDS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.03
Based on -0.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.78
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WDS is currently trading at $23.69, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.74 to $23.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (16.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WDS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $24.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $22.74 - $23.90
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.32)
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $22.74 - $23.90
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.61
Resistance Level $24.28
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.15
Wall Street Target $24.33 (+2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 26.9%
Profit Margin 22.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.2 vs 16.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $22.34 (-6%)
2-Year Target $21.07 (-11%)
3-Year Target $19.87 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→17) $23.72 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -5.7%) $28.35 (+20%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: -5.7%) $19.89 (-16%)
Bear: (PE: 12.0, Growth: -5.7%) $16.91 (-29%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.61
Bull Case $27.32 (+15%)
Analyst growth 4.0%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case $24.84 (+5%)
Market implied 4.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case $16.25 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 16.9
Stabilization Target: $28.29 (+19.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +19.4%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark Anthony Abbotsford SELL 7500 shares 2026-03-23

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