WDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WDS - Woodside Energy Group Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Ordinary Share
$21.80
-0.37 (-1.67%)
▼
5d:
-2.24%
30d:
-8.79%
90d:
+11.57%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WDS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WDS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.03
Based on -0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDS is currently trading at $21.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.32 to $23.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (15.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.53 (+12.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.53 (+12.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.32 -
$23.79
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.53)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.32 -
$23.79
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.52
Resistance Level
$23.48
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.49
Wall Street Target
$24.53
(+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Profit Margin
22.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 15.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.82
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$18.01
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$16.37
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→15)
$21.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -5.3%)
$32.88
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: -5.3%)
$18.51
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: -5.3%)
$15.73
(-28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.61
Bull Case
$28.75
(+32%)
Analyst growth 17.9%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$26.14
(+20%)
Market implied 17.9%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$15.08
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 15.3
Stabilization Target:
$29.04
(+33.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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