AESI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AESI - Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
$10.87
0.08 (0.74%)
▲
5d:
-4.98%
30d:
-24.88%
90d:
-36.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When AESI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AESI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -19.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AESI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -19.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.40
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AESI is currently trading at $10.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.80 to $15.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.2) compared to its historical average (54.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AESI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.01, while resistance sits at $15.01.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.50 (+90.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AESI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.01, while resistance sits at $15.01.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.50 (+90.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.80 -
$15.71
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 90.0% below Wall St target ($20.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.80 -
$15.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.01
Resistance Level
$15.01
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.21
Wall Street Target
$20.50
(+90.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.2%
Profit Margin
-9.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.2 vs 54.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.71
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.74
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.87
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→54)
$15.17
(+41%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.2 to 54.4
Stabilization Target:
$20.81
(+92.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+92.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AESI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chris Scholla
SELL
8912 shares
2026-03-06
Gregory M Shepard
SELL
130000 shares
2026-02-18
Gregory M Shepard
SELL
100000 shares
2026-02-17
Top Rated Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SLB
Schlumberger NV |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$62 | 54 HOLD |
|
BKR
Baker Hughes Co |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$71 | 56 HOLD |
|
HAL
Halliburton Company |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$44 | 47 HOLD |
|
FTI
TechnipFMC PLC |
BUY
22 analysts |
$76 | 48 HOLD |
|
NOV
NOV Inc. |
BUY
24 analysts |
$22 | 44 HOLD |
