AESI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AESI - Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
$12.58
-0.41 (-3.16%)
âŧ
5d:
+1.04%
30d:
-3.75%
90d:
-35.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AESI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 40.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AESI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 40.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AESI is currently trading at $12.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.00 to $13.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 157.2) compared to its historical average (56.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 40.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AESI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.44, while resistance sits at $13.69. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: AESI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.50 (+47.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AESI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.44, while resistance sits at $13.69. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: AESI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.50 (+47.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.00 -
$13.77
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 47.1% below Wall St target ($18.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 40.7% growth with 1.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.00 -
$13.77
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.44
Resistance Level
$13.69
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
157.25
Wall Street Target
$18.50
(+47.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.2%
Profit Margin
-11.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+40.7% premium
PE vs Historical
157.3 vs 56.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+40.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.70
(+41%)
2-Year Target
$24.90
(+98%)
3-Year Target
$35.04
(+179%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 157â57)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.59
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AESI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chris Scholla
SELL
8912 shares
2026-03-06
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