Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AESI - Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$14.16
0.29 (2.09%) ▲
5d: +7.52%
30d: +20.61%
90d: -14.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AESI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AESI is currently trading at $14.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.51 to $13.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 177.0) compared to its historical average (67.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 38.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AESI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.30, while resistance sits at $14.72.

Market Sentiment: AESI scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.17 (+28.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $11.51 - $13.50
Company Quality Score 31/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 31.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.3% below Wall St target ($18.17)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 38.0% growth with 1.6% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.51 - $13.50
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.30
Resistance Level $14.72
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 177.00
Wall Street Target $18.17 (+28.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -96.2%
Profit Margin -11.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +38.0% premium
PE vs Historical 177.0 vs 67.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +38.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.54 (+38%)
2-Year Target $26.97 (+90%)
3-Year Target $37.21 (+163%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 177→67) PE COMPRESSION $14.17 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: September 13, 2026 10:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:39 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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