AESI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AESI - Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
$14.77
0.38 (2.64%)
▲
5d:
+6.87%
30d:
-13.27%
90d:
+29.9%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AESI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AESI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.00
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AESI is currently trading at $14.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.83 to $17.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 43.1) compared to its historical average (57.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AESI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.50, while resistance sits at $17.18.
Market Sentiment: AESI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+35.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AESI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.50, while resistance sits at $17.18.
Market Sentiment: AESI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+35.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.83 -
$17.14
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.4% below Wall St target ($20.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.83 -
$17.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.50
Resistance Level
$17.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
43.12
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+35.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.2%
Profit Margin
-9.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
43.1 vs 57.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.44
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$12.23
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$11.13
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 43→57)
$14.79
(+0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 43.1 to 57.3
Stabilization Target:
$19.63
(+32.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AESI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chris Scholla
SELL
8912 shares
2026-03-06
Gregory M Shepard
SELL
130000 shares
2026-02-18
Gregory M Shepard
SELL
100000 shares
2026-02-17
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