Is AG stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, AG is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of AG stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for AG to be between $15.72 and $19.22. The current price is $21.09.

What is the analyst price target for AG?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for AG is $24.75. This implies a potential upside of 17.4% from current levels.

AG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AG - FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER CORP

Gold and Silver Ores

$21.09

-0.10 (-0.47%) ▼

5d: +9.5%

30d: +28.21%

90d: +5.98%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your AG Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $18.40 · last confirmed Aug 19, 2026

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 7.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$27.84

Based on 5.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$17.29

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AG is currently trading at $21.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.72 to $19.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.7) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.28, while resistance sits at $22.02.

Market Sentiment: AG scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.75 (+17.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $15.72 - $19.22

Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 22.4%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.7% above its trading range)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.75)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $15.72 - $19.22

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.28

Resistance Level $22.02

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.73

Wall Street Target $24.75 (+17.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 57.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 102.4%

Profit Margin 21.2%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.2% premium

PE vs Historical 20.7 vs 20.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $21.13 (+0%)

2-Year Target $21.17 (+0%)

3-Year Target $21.22 (+1%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→21) PE COMPRESSION $21.09 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.7%) $26.33 (+25%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.7%) $25.49 (+21%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 7.7%) $21.67 (+3%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 29.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.71

Bull Case $33.40 (+58%)

Analyst growth 43.3%, PE expands to 32.8

Base Case $30.37 (+44%)

Market implied 43.3%, PE stable at 29.9

Bear Case $14.41 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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