FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER (AG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AG - FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER CORP
$15.12
-0.97 (-6.03%)
▼
5d:
-6.03%
30d:
-20.63%
90d:
-7.3%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.00
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.76
9.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AG is currently trading at $15.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.22 to $18.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.3) compared to its historical average (20.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 102.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+49.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+49.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$16.22 -
$18.98
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 49.2% below Wall St target ($24.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.22 -
$18.98
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.96
Resistance Level
$17.48
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.29
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+49.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
57.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
102.4%
Profit Margin
21.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 20.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.96
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$13.92
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$12.94
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→20)
$16.04
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$25.06
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 8.5%)
$20.56
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 8.5%)
$17.48
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.70
Bull Case
$24.81
(+54%)
Analyst growth 41.1%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case
$22.56
(+40%)
Market implied 41.1%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$10.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 20.2
Stabilization Target:
$19.95
(+24.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AG price and gamma walls.
