FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER (AG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$14.77
-0.17 (-1.14%)
▼
5d:
-4.03%
30d:
-9.55%
90d:
-21.35%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect AG Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$14.75 – $16.67
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.0x
CHEAP
vs 19.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$23.75
+60.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$13.93 / $16.10
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: AG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $14.88 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 8.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.39
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.15
2.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AG is currently trading at $14.77, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.75 to $16.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.0) compared to its historical average (19.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 171.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.93, while resistance sits at $16.10.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.75 (+60.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.93, while resistance sits at $16.10.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.75 (+60.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$14.75 -
$16.67
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$14.75 -
$16.67
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$13.93
Resistance Level
$16.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding AG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.8% below Wall St target ($23.75)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (56/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.97
Wall Street Target
$23.75
(+60.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
171.7%
Profit Margin
22.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 19.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.72
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$12.75
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$11.84
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→20)
$14.76
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.6%)
$22.86
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 7.6%)
$18.38
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 7.6%)
$15.62
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$20.35
(+36%)
Analyst growth 16.6%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$18.50
(+24%)
Market implied 16.6%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$10.79
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 19.9
Stabilization Target:
$18.41
(+24.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AG)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows bullish sentiment towards $AG with one user expressing profits and intent to reinvest. No recent Yahoo Finance news articles are available.
Key Retail Themes:
bullish sentiment
profitable trades
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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