FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER (AG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AG - FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER CORP
$19.56
-0.59 (-2.93%)
âŧ
5d:
-8.56%
30d:
+2.09%
90d:
+15.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $20.97 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.84
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AG is currently trading at $19.56, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.21 to $21.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.2) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 102.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AG scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.75 (+26.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AG scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.75 (+26.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.21 -
$21.30
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.5% below Wall St target ($24.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.21 -
$21.30
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.43
Resistance Level
$22.19
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.22
Wall Street Target
$24.75
(+26.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
57.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
102.4%
Profit Margin
21.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.2 vs 20.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.11
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$18.67
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$18.24
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â21)
$19.55
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.7%)
$25.62
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.2, Growth: 7.7%)
$24.42
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 7.7%)
$20.75
(+6%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.67
Bull Case
$33.66
(+72%)
Analyst growth 51.9%, PE expands to 33.1
Base Case
$30.60
(+56%)
Market implied 51.9%, PE stable at 30.1
Bear Case
$13.70
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.2 to 20.6
Stabilization Target:
$20.96
(+7.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AG price and gamma walls.
