APH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APH - Amphenol Corporation
$157.01
3.90 (2.55%)
â˛
5d:
-6.04%
30d:
-0.27%
90d:
+25.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 14, 2026 at $166.90 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: APH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: APH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$287.02
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$178.22
11.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APH is currently trading at $157.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $152.24 to $167.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.4) compared to its historical average (28.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 59.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $152.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: APH scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $191.88 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $152.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: APH scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $191.88 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$152.24 -
$167.54
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.2% below Wall St target ($191.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$152.24 -
$167.54
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$152.82
Resistance Level
$172.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.42
Wall Street Target
$191.88
(+22.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
59.3%
Profit Margin
17.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.4 vs 28.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$149.79
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$142.90
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$136.32
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24â28)
$156.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.4, Growth: 20.9%)
$277.63
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 20.9%)
$228.21
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 20.9%)
$193.98
(+24%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.92
Bull Case
$276.28
(+76%)
Analyst growth 64.0%, PE expands to 43.0
Base Case
$251.17
(+60%)
Market implied 64.0%, PE stable at 39.1
Bear Case
$104.11
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.4 to 28.1
Stabilization Target:
$180.70
(+15.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 1:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced APH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APH price and gamma walls.
