ARDT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARDT - Ardent Health, Inc.
$9.48
0.30 (3.27%)
▲
5d:
+2.38%
30d:
+2.71%
90d:
+10.36%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Get Alerted When ARDT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARDT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARDT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.58
Based on -35.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARDT is currently trading at $9.48, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.80 to $9.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (7.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARDT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.76, while resistance sits at $9.78. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ARDT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.41 (+35.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARDT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.76, while resistance sits at $9.78. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ARDT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.41 (+35.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$8.80 -
$9.65
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 35.2% below Wall St target ($12.41)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.80 -
$9.65
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.76
Resistance Level
$9.78
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.95
Wall Street Target
$12.41
(+35.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 7.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.14
(0%)
2-Year Target
$9.11
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$9.07
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$9.13
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -75.2%)
$28.11
(+206%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: -75.2%)
$8.97
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: -75.2%)
$7.63
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.94
Bull Case
$13.95
(+52%)
Analyst growth 40.4%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$12.68
(+38%)
Market implied 40.4%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$6.14
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 7.0
Stabilization Target:
$9.24
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 11:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ARDT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Featured in Portfolios
ARDT is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Medical Care Facilities Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Medical Care Facilities by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
THC
Tenet Healthcare Corpora… |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$244 | 57 HOLD |
|
HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc. |
BUY
25 analysts |
$504 | 58 HOLD |
|
EHC
Encompass Health Corp |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$141 | 53 HOLD |
|
CMPS
Compass Pathways Plc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$22 | 53 HOLD |
|
ADUS
Addus HomeCare Corporati… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$133 | 60 HOLD |
