ASB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASB - Associated Banc-Corp

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$30.88
0.12 (0.39%) ▲
5d: +0.23%
30d: -1.09%
90d: +9.66%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.87
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.62
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASB is currently trading at $30.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.25 to $31.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $30.25 - $31.19
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.0%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($33.89)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with 23.5% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $30.25 - $31.19
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $29.92
Resistance Level $31.44
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.34
Wall Street Target $33.89 (+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -3.1%
Profit Margin 32.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.9% premium
PE vs Historical 9.3 vs 8.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $31.47 (+2%)
2-Year Target $32.06 (+4%)
3-Year Target $32.67 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) PE COMPRESSION $30.78 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.2%) $96.68 (+213%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 12.2%) $43.57 (+41%)
Bear: (PE: 7.9, Growth: 12.2%) $37.03 (+20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.86
Bull Case $39.11 (+27%)
Analyst growth 15.6%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case $35.55 (+15%)
Market implied 15.6%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case $20.92 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eileen A Kamerick SELL 6600 shares 2026-02-19
Patrick Edward Ahern SELL 14731 shares 2026-02-10

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