ASPS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASPS - Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.
$5.80
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-8.66%
30d:
-19.33%
90d:
-6.68%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASPS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ASPS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.16
28.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASPS is currently trading at $5.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.44 to $7.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.9) compared to its historical average (4.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASPS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $5.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.00 (+37.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASPS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $5.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.00 (+37.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.44 -
$7.30
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.9% below Wall St target ($8.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.44 -
$7.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.76
Resistance Level
$7.32
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.87
Wall Street Target
$8.00
(+37.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.9 vs 4.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.53
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$5.28
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$5.04
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$5.86
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 72.4%)
$105.35
(+1716%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.9, Growth: 72.4%)
$19.57
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.3, Growth: 72.4%)
$16.64
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$12.76
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 8.6
Base Case
$11.60
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 7.8
Bear Case
$3.94
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.9 to 4.5
Stabilization Target:
$6.75
(+16.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 26, 2026 2:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASPS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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