ASPS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASPS - Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.
$6.17
-0.52 (-7.77%)
▼
5d:
+14.9%
30d:
+9.4%
90d:
-13.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASPS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASPS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.56
6.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASPS is currently trading at $6.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.41 to $5.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 5.2) compared to its historical average (4.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASPS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.26, while resistance sits at $6.74. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASPS scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.00 (+29.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASPS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.26, while resistance sits at $6.74. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASPS scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.00 (+29.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.41 -
$5.95
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.7% below Wall St target ($8.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.6% growth with 17.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.41 -
$5.95
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.26
Resistance Level
$6.74
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.23
Wall Street Target
$8.00
(+29.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Profit Margin
-5.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
5.2 vs 4.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.45
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$6.75
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$7.06
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.21
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 55.3%)
$81.24
(+1217%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.2, Growth: 55.3%)
$20.82
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.4, Growth: 55.3%)
$17.70
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASPS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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