AVAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVAL - GRUPO AVAL ACCIONES Y VALORES S.A.
$5.46
0.03 (0.55%)
▲
5d:
+3.02%
30d:
+10.53%
90d:
+28.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When AVAL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AVAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AVAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.16
Based on 3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVAL is currently trading at $5.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.95 to $5.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AVAL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $4.90. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AVAL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $4.90. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.95 -
$5.38
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.3% above Wall St target ($4.90)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.95 -
$5.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.05
Resistance Level
$5.58
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.18
Wall Street Target
$4.90
(-10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 8.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.54
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$5.63
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$5.71
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.48
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 2.6%)
$12.89
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 2.6%)
$5.89
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 2.6%)
$5.01
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.50
Bull Case
$7.11
(+30%)
Analyst growth 19.0%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case
$6.46
(+18%)
Market implied 19.0%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$3.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AVAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
USB
U.S. Bancorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$70 | 48 HOLD |
|
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares In… |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$20 | 51 HOLD |
|
WAL
Western Alliance Bancorp… |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$93 | 57 HOLD |
|
BAP
Credicorp Ltd |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$423 | 63 BUY |
|
WTFC
Wintrust Financial Corpo… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$180 | 50 HOLD |
