AVAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVAL - GRUPO AVAL ACCIONES Y VALORES S.A.
$5.32
-0.02 (-0.37%)
▼
5d:
-2.74%
30d:
+24.88%
90d:
+25.47%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
Get Alerted When AVAL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.79
8.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVAL is currently trading at $5.32, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.35 to $5.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVAL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.92, while resistance sits at $6.20.
Market Sentiment: AVAL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $4.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVAL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.92, while resistance sits at $6.20.
Market Sentiment: AVAL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $4.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$4.35 -
$5.37
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 24.8% above Wall St target ($4.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.4% growth with 19.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.35 -
$5.37
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.92
Resistance Level
$6.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.56
Wall Street Target
$4.00
(-24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.9%
Profit Margin
12.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.50
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$5.69
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$5.88
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.29
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 32.6%)
$28.26
(+431%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 32.6%)
$12.40
(+133%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 32.6%)
$10.54
(+98%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.40
Bull Case
$8.17
(+54%)
Analyst growth 39.1%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$7.43
(+40%)
Market implied 39.1%, PE stable at 13.4
Bear Case
$3.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AVAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
USB
U.S. Bancorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$64 | 65 BUY |
|
PNC
PNC Financial Services G… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$256 | 62 BUY |
|
MTB
M&T Bank Corporation |
BUY
21 analysts |
$233 | 64 BUY |
|
WAL
Western Alliance Bancorp… |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$89 | 64 BUY |
|
BAP
Credicorp Ltd |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$386 | 62 BUY |
