AVPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVPT - AvePoint, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$10.40
0.09 (0.87%)
▲
5d:
-4.15%
30d:
+1.07%
90d:
+8.22%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.32
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.48
28.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVPT is currently trading at $10.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.23 to $10.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.9) compared to its historical average (25.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 302.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.71, while resistance sits at $11.36.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.12 (+55.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.71, while resistance sits at $11.36.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.12 (+55.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$10.23 -
$10.96
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.0% below Wall St target ($16.12)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.23 -
$10.96
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.71
Resistance Level
$11.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.90
Wall Street Target
$16.13
(+55.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
302.8%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.9 vs 25.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.71
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$9.07
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$8.47
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→26)
$10.42
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.2%)
$20.26
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.9, Growth: 23.2%)
$19.45
(+87%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.8, Growth: 23.2%)
$16.53
(+59%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 51.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.20
Bull Case
$22.63
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 56.6
Base Case
$20.57
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 51.4
Bear Case
$6.99
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 43.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.9 to 25.7
Stabilization Target:
$12.79
(+22.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Xunkai Gong
SELL
27998 shares
2026-01-13
Xunkai Gong
SELL
32002 shares
2026-01-12
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