AvePoint (AVPT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVPT - AvePoint, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$16.36
0.28 (1.74%)
▲
5d:
+14.17%
30d:
+24.32%
90d:
+27.71%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AVPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AVPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.02
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVPT is currently trading at $16.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.32 to $15.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.1) compared to its historical average (26.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AVPT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AVPT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.32 -
$15.05
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
Protect Your Profits
AVPT is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.81)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.3% growth expectation is conservative given 1100% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.32 -
$15.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.94
Resistance Level
$16.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.09
Wall Street Target
$16.81
(+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1100.0%
Profit Margin
15.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.3% premium
PE vs Historical
33.1 vs 26.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.41
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$18.86
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$20.43
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.11
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.1, Growth: 7.4%)
$19.94
(+24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.4%)
$11.96
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 7.4%)
$10.17
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.32
Bull Case
$26.26
(+63%)
Analyst growth 51.8%, PE expands to 54.0
Base Case
$23.87
(+48%)
Market implied 51.8%, PE stable at 49.1
Bear Case
$10.69
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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