AVPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVPT - AvePoint, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$12.96
0.28 (2.21%)
▲
5d:
+3.6%
30d:
+19.45%
90d:
+36.85%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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1 traders called AVPT this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: AVPT is 7.2% above its trading range ($12.09). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: AVPT is 7.2% above its trading range ($12.09). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.32
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.48
10.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVPT is currently trading at $12.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.38 to $12.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.5) is in line with its historical norms (25.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AVPT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.12 (+27.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AVPT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.12 (+27.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.38 -
$12.09
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
AVPT is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.2% below Wall St target ($16.12)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.38 -
$12.09
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.85
Resistance Level
$12.95
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.49
Wall Street Target
$16.13
(+27.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
302.8%
Profit Margin
10.5%
PE vs Historical
25.5 vs 25.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.68
(0%)
2-Year Target
$12.68
(0%)
3-Year Target
$12.68
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→26)
$12.69
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.5, Growth: 23.2%)
$23.71
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.2%)
$20.26
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 23.2%)
$17.22
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (62x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 62.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.20
Bull Case
$27.37
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 68.4
Base Case
$24.88
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 62.2
Bear Case
$8.46
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 52.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 1:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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