AvePoint (AVPT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$16.35
-0.20 (-1.21%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.43%
30d:
+16.79%
90d:
+21.29%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (47%)
Quality Score
33/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$14.70 â $16.86
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
32.1x
STRETCHED
vs 26.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$19.16
+15.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$16.00 / $17.52
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AVPT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.02
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVPT is currently trading at $16.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.70 to $16.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.1) compared to its historical average (26.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AVPT scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.16 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AVPT scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.16 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.70 -
$16.86
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$14.70 -
$16.86
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$16.00
Resistance Level
$17.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($19.16)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.6% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.12
Wall Street Target
$19.16
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.6% premium
PE vs Historical
32.1 vs 26.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.64
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$18.81
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$20.05
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32â27)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.54
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.1, Growth: 4.9%)
$19.08
(+15%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.9%)
$11.80
(-29%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 4.9%)
$10.03
(-39%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.34
Bull Case
$28.16
(+70%)
Analyst growth 51.6%, PE expands to 54.6
Base Case
$25.60
(+55%)
Market implied 51.6%, PE stable at 49.7
Bear Case
$11.49
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AVPT)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Avepoint's stock price increased by 4.3% in premarket trading after being added to the S&P SmallCap 600 index, with bullish sentiment on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes:
Avepoint's addition to the S&P SmallCap 600 index
Upcoming third-quarter financial results
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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