AVPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVPT - AvePoint, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$10.70
-0.59 (-5.23%)
▼
5d:
+6.47%
30d:
+1.61%
90d:
-3.69%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.32
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.48
26.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVPT is currently trading at $10.70, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.86 to $10.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.5) compared to its historical average (26.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 302.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.93, while resistance sits at $11.62. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: AVPT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.12 (+50.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.93, while resistance sits at $11.62. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: AVPT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.12 (+50.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$9.86 -
$10.81
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 50.7% below Wall St target ($16.12)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.86 -
$10.81
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.93
Resistance Level
$11.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.51
Wall Street Target
$16.13
(+50.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
302.8%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.5 vs 26.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.03
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$9.39
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$8.80
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→26)
$10.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 23.2%)
$20.39
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.5, Growth: 23.2%)
$20.01
(+87%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.3, Growth: 23.2%)
$17.01
(+59%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 50.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.20
Bull Case
$22.11
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 55.3
Base Case
$20.10
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 50.3
Bear Case
$6.83
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.5 to 26.1
Stabilization Target:
$12.98
(+21.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 04, 2026 1:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Xunkai Gong
SELL
27998 shares
2026-01-13
Xunkai Gong
SELL
32002 shares
2026-01-12
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