AvePoint (AVPT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVPT - AvePoint, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$14.07
-0.01 (-0.07%)
▼
5d:
+8.23%
30d:
+5.39%
90d:
+16.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AVPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AVPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.52
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVPT is currently trading at $14.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.03 to $13.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.4) compared to its historical average (25.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AVPT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.79 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AVPT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.79 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.03 -
$13.84
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AVPT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.79)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.03 -
$13.84
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.64
Resistance Level
$14.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.39
Wall Street Target
$16.79
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1100.0%
Profit Margin
15.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
28.4 vs 25.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.52
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$14.98
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$15.46
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.4, Growth: 10.4%)
$18.92
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.4%)
$13.60
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 10.4%)
$11.56
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.31
Bull Case
$24.76
(+76%)
Analyst growth 59.9%, PE expands to 50.0
Base Case
$22.51
(+60%)
Market implied 59.9%, PE stable at 45.4
Bear Case
$9.57
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AVPT price and gamma walls.
