AVPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVPT - AvePoint, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$13.37
0.24 (1.83%)
â˛
5d:
-0.82%
30d:
+13.07%
90d:
+30.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AVPT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AVPT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.52
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVPT is currently trading at $13.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.59 to $13.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.0) is in line with its historical norms (25.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.64, while resistance sits at $13.82.
Market Sentiment: AVPT scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.71 (+25.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.64, while resistance sits at $13.82.
Market Sentiment: AVPT scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.71 (+25.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.59 -
$13.42
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AVPT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.0% below Wall St target ($16.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.59 -
$13.42
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.64
Resistance Level
$13.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.98
Wall Street Target
$16.71
(+25.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1100.0%
Profit Margin
15.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
27.0 vs 25.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.61
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$13.86
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$14.11
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27â26)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.38
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.0, Growth: 10.4%)
$17.98
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.4%)
$13.38
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 10.4%)
$11.37
(-15%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.31
Bull Case
$23.09
(+73%)
Analyst growth 59.9%, PE expands to 46.6
Base Case
$20.99
(+57%)
Market implied 59.9%, PE stable at 42.4
Bear Case
$8.93
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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