BBSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBSI - Barrett Business Services
$38.97
1.54 (4.11%)
▲
5d:
+3.62%
30d:
+13.48%
90d:
+37.75%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BBSI trades at premium valuation expecting 6.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: BBSI trades at premium valuation expecting 6.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.82
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBSI is currently trading at $38.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.09 to $37.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (14.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBSI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: BBSI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.25 (+12.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBSI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: BBSI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.25 (+12.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.09 -
$37.11
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.25)
- BEARISH: Market expects 6.1% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.09 -
$37.11
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.19
Resistance Level
$39.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.41
Wall Street Target
$42.25
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 14.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.71
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$42.14
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$44.71
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.49
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.6%)
$70.41
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 14.6%)
$56.28
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 14.6%)
$47.20
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case
$57.56
(+54%)
Analyst growth 40.5%, PE expands to 26.8
Base Case
$52.33
(+40%)
Market implied 40.5%, PE stable at 24.3
Bear Case
$25.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
James R Potts
SELL
1803 shares
2026-03-17
Gary Kramer
BUY
8370 shares
2026-03-13
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