BMRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMRC - Bank of Marin Bancorp
$26.41
0.55 (2.13%)
▲
5d:
+2.32%
30d:
+0.65%
90d:
+6.92%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BMRC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BMRC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.33
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMRC is currently trading at $26.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.60 to $26.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $26.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BMRC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $26.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BMRC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.60 -
$26.17
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.60)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.60 -
$26.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.44
Resistance Level
$26.80
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.03
Wall Street Target
$28.60
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
76.7%
Profit Margin
-90.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.59
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$26.78
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$26.97
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.41
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$69.65
(+164%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 10.1%)
$35.26
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 10.1%)
$29.97
(+14%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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