BMRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMRC - Bank of Marin Bancorp
$29.16
0.46 (1.60%)
▲
5d:
+1.36%
30d:
+0.76%
90d:
+13.73%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BMRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BMRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.66
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMRC is currently trading at $29.16, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.63 to $29.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.86, while resistance sits at $30.92.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.86, while resistance sits at $30.92.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$27.63 -
$29.19
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.63 -
$29.19
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.87
Resistance Level
$30.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.30
Wall Street Target
$30.40
(+4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
232.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
76.7%
Profit Margin
-23.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.30
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$31.48
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$32.71
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.24
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.5%)
$59.37
(+104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 6.5%)
$35.24
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 6.5%)
$29.95
(+3%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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