BMRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMRC - Bank of Marin Bancorp
$26.91
-0.04 (-0.15%)
▼
5d:
-4.88%
30d:
-4.88%
90d:
+2.55%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BMRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BMRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.99
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMRC is currently trading at $26.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.83 to $29.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BMRC scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.80 (+18.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BMRC scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.80 (+18.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$27.83 -
$29.28
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.83 -
$29.28
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.59
Resistance Level
$29.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.22
Wall Street Target
$31.80
(+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
275.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
76.7%
Profit Margin
-23.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.04
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$27.18
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$27.32
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.78
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 6.4%)
$57.91
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 6.4%)
$32.37
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 6.4%)
$27.52
(+2%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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