BUSE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUSE - First Busey Corporation Class A Common Stock
$29.25
0.37 (1.28%)
▲
5d:
+3.21%
30d:
+8.01%
90d:
+17.47%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BUSE is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BUSE is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.17
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUSE is currently trading at $29.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.90 to $28.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BUSE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BUSE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$26.90 -
$28.48
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.90 -
$28.48
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.77
Resistance Level
$29.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.78
Wall Street Target
$28.86
(-1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
143.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Profit Margin
27.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.36
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$31.52
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$32.71
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.3%)
$65.09
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 3.3%)
$32.21
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 3.3%)
$27.37
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.46
Bull Case
$35.05
(+20%)
Analyst growth 10.3%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$31.87
(+9%)
Market implied 10.3%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$19.64
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 9:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUSE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-04-15
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-02-17
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-01-15
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