BUSE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUSE - First Busey Corporation Class A Common Stock
$29.31
0.04 (0.14%)
▲
5d:
+0.31%
30d:
+2.95%
90d:
+9.73%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUSE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUSE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.37
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUSE is currently trading at $29.31, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.32 to $29.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.29, while resistance sits at $30.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.29, while resistance sits at $30.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$28.32 -
$29.54
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.57)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.32 -
$29.54
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.29
Resistance Level
$30.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.82
Wall Street Target
$30.57
(+4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
143.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Profit Margin
27.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.37
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$31.46
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$32.59
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.23
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.2%)
$64.89
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 3.2%)
$32.22
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 3.2%)
$27.39
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.43
Bull Case
$35.91
(+23%)
Analyst growth 11.5%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$32.64
(+11%)
Market implied 11.5%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$19.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 3:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUSE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-04-15
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-02-17
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