First Busey (BUSE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$28.88
-0.06 (-0.21%)
▼
5d:
+0.73%
30d:
-0.24%
90d:
-7.52%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (89%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$28.84 – $29.85
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.8x
FAIR
vs 10.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$31.83
+10.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$28.44 / $30.05
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUSE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.91
12.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUSE is currently trading at $28.88, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.84 to $29.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BUSE scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.83 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BUSE scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.83 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$28.84 -
$29.85
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$28.84 -
$29.85
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$28.44
Resistance Level
$30.05
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.82
Wall Street Target
$31.83
(+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Profit Margin
29.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.46
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$30.05
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$30.65
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.89
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 75.5%)
$54.21
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 75.5%)
$29.54
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 75.5%)
$25.11
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.45
Bull Case
$34.67
(+20%)
Analyst growth 8.9%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$31.52
(+9%)
Market implied 8.9%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$19.68
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BUSE)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Regional bank First Busey missed Q3 2026 sales estimates, reporting a 1.6% year-on-year revenue decline to $193.5 million.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 2:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUSE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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