First Busey (BUSE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUSE - First Busey Corporation Class A Common Stock
$30.44
0.06 (0.20%)
▲
5d:
-0.78%
30d:
-2.65%
90d:
+6.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
Get Alerted When BUSE Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUSE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUSE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.37
Based on 2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUSE is currently trading at $30.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.15 to $31.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BUSE scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BUSE scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$30.15 -
$31.03
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($33.29)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.15 -
$31.03
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.74
Resistance Level
$30.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.17
Wall Street Target
$33.29
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.7%
Profit Margin
29.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.54
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$32.67
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$33.85
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.61
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 1.3%)
$57.20
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 1.3%)
$31.67
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 1.3%)
$26.92
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.45
Bull Case
$37.18
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.3%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$33.80
(+11%)
Market implied 11.3%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$20.66
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 6:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BUSE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-04-15
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$63 | 66 BUY |
|
PNC
PNC Financial Services G… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$278 | 61 BUY |
|
MTB
M&T Bank Corporation |
BUY
21 analysts |
$260 | 66 BUY |
|
TFC
Truist Financial Corp |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$55 | 61 BUY |
|
KEY
KeyCorp |
BUY
19 analysts |
$26 | 62 BUY |
