BUSE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUSE - First Busey Corporation Class A Common Stock
$26.85
-0.58 (-2.11%)
▼
5d:
-1.14%
30d:
+2.36%
90d:
+4.64%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BUSE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BUSE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.05
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUSE is currently trading at $26.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.12 to $27.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BUSE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BUSE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$26.12 -
$27.10
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.57)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.12 -
$27.10
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.12
Resistance Level
$27.78
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.91
Wall Street Target
$28.57
(+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
143.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Profit Margin
27.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.17
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$27.50
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$27.83
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.96
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 3.2%)
$65.18
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 3.2%)
$29.47
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 3.2%)
$25.05
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.43
Bull Case
$33.32
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.5%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$30.29
(+11%)
Market implied 11.5%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$18.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUSE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-04-15
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-02-17
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-01-15
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