BUSE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUSE - First Busey Corporation Class A Common Stock
$31.55
0.28 (0.90%)
▲
5d:
+4.37%
30d:
+6.99%
90d:
+20.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BUSE trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: BUSE trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.90
Based on 2.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUSE is currently trading at $31.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.05 to $30.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BUSE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BUSE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$29.05 -
$30.05
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.86)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.05 -
$30.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.08
Resistance Level
$31.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.47
Wall Street Target
$32.86
(+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.7%
Profit Margin
29.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 9.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.90
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$34.61
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$36.41
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.42
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 1.5%)
$59.07
(+89%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 1.5%)
$32.69
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 1.5%)
$27.78
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.45
Bull Case
$37.77
(+21%)
Analyst growth 11.3%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$34.33
(+10%)
Market implied 11.3%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$20.98
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 2:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUSE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-04-15
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-02-17
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