CECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CECO - Ceco Environmental Corp
$65.89
0.35 (0.53%)
▲
5d:
-12.88%
30d:
-22.98%
90d:
-11.13%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CECO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CECO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$137.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.66
23.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CECO is currently trading at $65.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.29 to $91.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.2) compared to its historical average (35.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CECO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.45, while resistance sits at $84.26.
Market Sentiment: CECO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.83 (+69.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CECO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.45, while resistance sits at $84.26.
Market Sentiment: CECO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.83 (+69.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$73.29 -
$91.29
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CECO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 69.7% below Wall St target ($111.83)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-12.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.29 -
$91.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.45
Resistance Level
$84.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.25
Wall Street Target
$111.83
(+69.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.5%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.3 vs 35.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.30
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$53.37
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$48.03
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→36)
$73.54
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.3, Growth: 48.6%)
$216.33
(+228%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 48.6%)
$192.86
(+193%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 48.6%)
$163.93
(+149%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 35.59 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.85
Bull Case
$79.56
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 37.4
Base Case
$65.89
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 35.6
Bear Case
$50.41
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 32.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.3 to 35.6
Stabilization Target:
$100.88
(+53.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+53.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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