ZWS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ZWS - Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation

GENERAL INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
$49.64
-0.34 (-0.68%) ▼
5d: +2.58%
30d: +3.81%
90d: +13.36%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ZWS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.39
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.22
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ZWS is currently trading at $49.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.07 to $48.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.8) is in line with its historical norms (26.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 37.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ZWS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $49.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ZWS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.22 (+13.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $47.07 - $48.89
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($56.22)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $47.07 - $48.89
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $45.79
Resistance Level $49.19
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.83
Wall Street Target $56.22 (+13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 37.2%
Profit Margin 12.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 25.8 vs 26.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $49.04 (-1%)
2-Year Target $48.46 (-2%)
3-Year Target $47.87 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→27) $49.67 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.8, Growth: 9.4%) $64.99 (+31%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.4%) $54.80 (+10%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 9.4%) $46.58 (-6%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.23
Bull Case $85.90 (+73%)
Analyst growth 56.2%, PE expands to 44.7
Base Case $78.09 (+57%)
Market implied 56.2%, PE stable at 40.6
Bear Case $33.99 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.8 to 26.8
Stabilization Target: $51.50 (+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.8%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:05 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sudhanshu Chhabra SELL 2021 shares 2026-02-17
Timothy J Jahnke SELL 25000 shares 2026-02-17
Jeffrey J Lavalle SELL 447 shares 2026-02-17

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