FSS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSS - Federal Signal Corp.
$115.23
-1.66 (-1.42%)
▼
5d:
-12.1%
30d:
+4.65%
90d:
+0.42%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FSS is down 12.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FSS is down 12.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$180.66
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$112.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSS is currently trading at $115.23, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $109.96 to $126.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.8) is in line with its historical norms (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 52.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $117.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.57 (+24.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $117.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.57 (+24.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$109.96 -
$126.20
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.6% below Wall St target ($143.57)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$109.96 -
$126.20
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$101.19
Resistance Level
$117.04
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.77
Wall Street Target
$143.57
(+24.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.0%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.8 vs 22.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.46
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$109.77
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$107.13
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$115.55
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.6%)
$168.02
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 11.6%)
$160.21
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 11.6%)
$136.18
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.31
Bull Case
$165.53
(+44%)
Analyst growth 28.7%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case
$150.48
(+31%)
Market implied 28.7%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case
$79.49
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.8 to 22.4
Stabilization Target:
$124.29
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-09
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-02
Josh Gottheimer
BUY
2026-02-26
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