Federal Signal (FSS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSS - Federal Signal Corp.
$112.17
1.38 (1.25%)
▲
5d:
-0.54%
30d:
-1.27%
90d:
-14.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FSS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FSS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$179.38
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$111.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSS is currently trading at $112.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.90 to $118.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.4) compared to its historical average (21.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $109.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.62 (+29.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $109.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.62 (+29.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$112.90 -
$118.46
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.8% below Wall St target ($145.62)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$112.90 -
$118.46
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$109.45
Resistance Level
$117.51
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.41
Wall Street Target
$145.63
(+29.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.7%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 21.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.68
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$103.38
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$99.24
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→22)
$111.97
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.5%)
$158.96
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 10.5%)
$151.24
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 10.5%)
$128.56
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.64
Bull Case
$151.78
(+35%)
Analyst growth 24.5%, PE expands to 26.3
Base Case
$137.99
(+23%)
Market implied 24.5%, PE stable at 23.9
Bear Case
$75.34
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.4 to 21.9
Stabilization Target:
$126.56
(+12.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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