Federal Signal (FSS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSS - Federal Signal Corp.
$113.98
0.52 (0.46%)
▲
5d:
-2.71%
30d:
-9.76%
90d:
+3.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Get Alerted When FSS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FSS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FSS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$181.02
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$112.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSS is currently trading at $113.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $116.83 to $127.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.7) compared to its historical average (22.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $112.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.62 (+27.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $112.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.62 (+27.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$116.83 -
$127.28
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.8% below Wall St target ($145.62)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$116.83 -
$127.28
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$112.65
Resistance Level
$121.81
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.72
Wall Street Target
$145.63
(+27.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.7%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 22.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.76
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$105.70
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$101.79
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→22)
$114.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.5%)
$157.17
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 10.5%)
$153.69
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 10.5%)
$130.63
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.48
Bull Case
$160.99
(+41%)
Analyst growth 29.0%, PE expands to 27.9
Base Case
$146.36
(+28%)
Market implied 29.0%, PE stable at 25.3
Bear Case
$77.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.7 to 22.1
Stabilization Target:
$127.72
(+12.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FSS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CAT
Caterpillar Inc |
BUY
28 analysts |
$976 | 64 BUY |
|
DE
Deere & Company |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$685 | 32 SELL |
|
CNH
CNH Industrial N.V. |
BUY
19 analysts |
$14 | 30 SELL |
|
OSK
Oshkosh Corporation |
BUY
16 analysts |
$169 | 49 HOLD |
|
PCAR
PACCAR Inc |
HOLD
19 analysts |
$143 | 59 HOLD |
