CECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CECO - Ceco Environmental Corp
$81.90
-1.73 (-2.07%)
▼
5d:
+1.51%
30d:
-11.26%
90d:
+27.49%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CECO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CECO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$137.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.66
4.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CECO is currently trading at $81.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.12 to $96.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.9) compared to its historical average (36.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CECO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $75.75, while resistance sits at $92.23.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.83 (+36.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CECO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $75.75, while resistance sits at $92.23.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.83 (+36.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$82.12 -
$96.12
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
34th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 34th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.5% below Wall St target ($111.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.12 -
$96.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.72
(9.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.76
Resistance Level
$92.23
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.90
Wall Street Target
$111.83
(+36.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.5%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.9 vs 36.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.84
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$70.23
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$65.03
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→36)
$81.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.9, Growth: 48.6%)
$268.90
(+228%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 48.6%)
$202.63
(+147%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 48.6%)
$172.23
(+110%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 47.39 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.76
Bull Case
$100.98
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 49.8
Base Case
$83.63
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 47.4
Bear Case
$63.98
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 42.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.9 to 36.4
Stabilization Target:
$103.14
(+25.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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