CECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CECO - Ceco Environmental Corp
$97.41
-2.27 (-2.27%)
▼
5d:
+2.52%
30d:
+20.73%
90d:
+66.76%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CECO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CECO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$138.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CECO is currently trading at $97.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.72 to $94.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.0) is in line with its historical norms (36.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CECO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $83.54, while resistance sits at $101.24.
Market Sentiment: CECO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (11th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CECO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $83.54, while resistance sits at $101.24.
Market Sentiment: CECO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (11th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$78.72 -
$94.52
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
11th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 11th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($108.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.72 -
$94.52
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.60
(7.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.54
Resistance Level
$101.24
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.05
Wall Street Target
$108.20
(+8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.5%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.1 vs 36.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.98
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$96.31
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$94.67
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→37)
$99.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.1, Growth: 51.0%)
$336.39
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 51.0%)
$209.00
(+110%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 51.0%)
$177.65
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (59x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 58.82 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.69
Bull Case
$120.35
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 61.8
Base Case
$99.67
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 58.8
Bear Case
$76.25
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 52.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.1 to 36.9
Stabilization Target:
$104.92
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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