Ceco Environmental (CECO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CECO - Ceco Environmental Corp

INDUSTRIAL & COMMERCIAL FANS & BLOWERS & AIR PURIFING EQUIP
$78.34
2.95 (3.91%) ▲
5d: +5.37%
30d: +3.31%
90d: -18.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $74.10 · last confirmed Sep 8, 2026

Strength: 8.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CECO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.36
17.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CECO is currently trading at $78.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.64 to $77.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.1) compared to its historical average (33.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CECO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $68.84, while resistance sits at $80.98. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: CECO scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.14 (+39.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $69.64 - $77.23
Company Quality Score 37/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 33.3%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 39.3% below Wall St target ($109.14)
  • WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $69.64 - $77.23
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $68.84
Resistance Level $80.98
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.10
Wall Street Target $109.14 (+39.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 53.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -41.5%
Profit Margin -3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 25.1 vs 33.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $70.90 (-10%)
2-Year Target $64.16 (-18%)
3-Year Target $58.07 (-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→34) $78.21 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.1, Growth: 33.2%) $184.94 (+136%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 33.2%) $148.63 (+90%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 33.2%) $126.34 (+61%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.1 to 33.8
Stabilization Target: $105.51 (+34.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +34.7%
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Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CECO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CECO price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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