COLM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COLM - Columbia Sportswear Co
$63.95
-0.83 (-1.28%)
▼
5d:
-4.37%
30d:
+4.2%
90d:
+16.1%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Get Alerted When COLM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: COLM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: COLM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.99
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COLM is currently trading at $63.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.71 to $67.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COLM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.67 (+10.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COLM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.67 (+10.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$61.71 -
$67.05
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.71 -
$67.05
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.59
Resistance Level
$69.06
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.15
Wall Street Target
$70.67
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.3%
Profit Margin
5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 16.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.35
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$60.79
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$59.27
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$63.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.8%)
$121.67
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 9.8%)
$84.61
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 9.8%)
$71.92
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.13
Bull Case
$98.61
(+52%)
Analyst growth 34.9%, PE expands to 23.4
Base Case
$89.65
(+38%)
Market implied 34.9%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case
$45.19
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$68.82
(+7.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is COLM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Apparel Manufacturing Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Manufacturing by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RL
Ralph Lauren Corp Class A |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$428 | 59 HOLD |
|
GIL
Gildan Activewear Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$82 | 55 HOLD |
|
UAA
Under Armour Inc A |
SELL
26 analysts |
$6 | 57 HOLD |
|
VFC
VF Corporation |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$20 | 54 HOLD |
|
LEVI
Levi Strauss & Co Class A |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$27 | 61 BUY |
