COLM
Columbia Sportswear Co
APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL
Columbia Sportswear (COLM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$71.44
-0.82 (-1.13%)
▼
5d:
+0.72%
30d:
+25.2%
90d:
+23.62%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
30/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$57.34 – $68.57
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.7x
FAIR
vs 15.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$73.00
+1.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$59.93 / $73.03
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: COLM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.34
Based on -3.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COLM is currently trading at $71.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.34 to $68.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COLM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $73.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: COLM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COLM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $73.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: COLM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$57.34 -
$68.57
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$57.34 -
$68.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$59.93
Resistance Level
$73.03
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($73.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.67
Wall Street Target
$73.00
(+1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
74.7%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.99
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$75.77
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$77.59
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$72.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -10.0%)
$62.77
(+-13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: -10.0%)
$52.68
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: -10.0%)
$44.78
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.66
Bull Case
$74.15
(+3%)
Analyst growth -7.0%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$67.41
(-7%)
Market implied -7.0%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$49.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (COLM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment prevails on StockTwits as traders anticipate strong earnings from Columbia Sportswear (COLM), despite a mixed share price performance over the past year. The latest Yahoo Finance news article questions if COLM is trading at a discount to cash flow, suggesting the current valuation may be based on cautious views on the durability of the company's cash flows.
Key Retail Themes:
Columbia Sportswear's earnings and cash flows
Market's perception of the company's valuation
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COLM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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