CPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPT - Camden Property Trust
$112.96
-0.33 (-0.29%)
▼
5d:
-3.66%
30d:
-2.11%
90d:
+12.02%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPT is currently trading at $112.96, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.18 to $116.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 70.8) is in line with its historical norms (73.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $108.54, while resistance sits at $116.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $108.54, while resistance sits at $116.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$111.18 -
$116.13
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($114.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$111.18 -
$116.13
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.54
Resistance Level
$116.59
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
70.75
Wall Street Target
$114.40
(+1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Profit Margin
24.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
70.8 vs 73.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$111.72
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$110.49
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$109.27
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 71→73)
$112.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 70.8, Growth: 26.4%)
$228.37
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.4%)
$70.30
(-38%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 26.4%)
$59.75
(-47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 31.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.56
Bull Case
$62.31
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 35.0
Base Case
$56.64
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 31.8
Bear Case
$77.04
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 70.8 to 73.1
Stabilization Target:
$116.70
(+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Laurie Baker
SELL
2168 shares
2026-02-18
Michael P Gallagher
SELL
169 shares
2026-02-18
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