CPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPT - Camden Property Trust
$108.98
-0.01 (-0.01%)
▼
5d:
-5.22%
30d:
+2.53%
90d:
+11.94%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CPT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CPT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPT is currently trading at $108.98, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.96 to $112.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 68.3) is in line with its historical norms (73.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $108.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $108.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$104.96 -
$112.55
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($114.26)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$104.96 -
$112.55
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.54
Resistance Level
$116.59
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
68.26
Wall Street Target
$114.26
(+4.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Profit Margin
24.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
68.3 vs 73.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.47
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$104.02
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$101.63
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 68→73)
$108.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 68.3, Growth: 26.4%)
$220.32
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.4%)
$70.30
(-36%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 26.4%)
$59.75
(-45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 30.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.57
Bull Case
$59.94
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 33.6
Base Case
$54.49
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 30.5
Bear Case
$74.11
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 68.3 to 73.2
Stabilization Target:
$116.86
(+7.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Laurie Baker
SELL
2168 shares
2026-02-18
Michael P Gallagher
SELL
169 shares
2026-02-18
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