INVH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INVH - Invitation Homes Inc. Common Stock
$29.72
0.05 (0.17%)
▲
5d:
-0.2%
30d:
-2.08%
90d:
+3.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INVH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INVH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.26
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INVH is currently trading at $29.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.42 to $30.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 42.1) is in line with its historical norms (39.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INVH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.78 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INVH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.78 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$29.42 -
$30.34
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($32.78)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.42 -
$30.34
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.34
Resistance Level
$30.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
42.11
Wall Street Target
$32.78
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.5%
Profit Margin
23.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
42.1 vs 39.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.49
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$31.29
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$32.10
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→39)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.73
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.1, Growth: 14.3%)
$44.36
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.3%)
$21.84
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 14.3%)
$18.56
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.07
Bull Case
$21.53
(-28%)
Analyst growth -34.0%, PE expands to 30.5
Base Case
$19.57
(-34%)
Market implied -34.0%, PE stable at 27.7
Bear Case
$20.18
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INVH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-10
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Advanced INVH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INVH price and gamma walls.
