Invitation Homes (INVH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INVH - Invitation Homes Inc. Common Stock
$26.04
-0.36 (-1.36%)
▼
5d:
-2.18%
30d:
-9.71%
90d:
-13.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: INVH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: INVH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.88
Based on -3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INVH is currently trading at $26.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.60 to $29.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.6) is in line with its historical norms (39.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 60.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INVH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.52 (+28.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INVH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.52 (+28.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.60 -
$29.06
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding INVH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.7% below Wall St target ($33.52)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.60 -
$29.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.95
Resistance Level
$27.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.63
Wall Street Target
$33.52
(+28.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.5%
Profit Margin
23.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.6 vs 39.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.39
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$24.75
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$24.14
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→40)
$26.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.6, Growth: -10.7%)
$18.98
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -10.7%)
$10.57
(-59%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -10.7%)
$8.99
(-66%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 24.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.09
Bull Case
$18.94
(-27%)
Analyst growth -34.8%, PE expands to 26.6
Base Case
$17.22
(-34%)
Market implied -34.8%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case
$17.95
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.6 to 39.5
Stabilization Target:
$28.08
(+7.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INVH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced INVH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INVH price and gamma walls.
