CSWC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSWC - Capital Southwest Corp
$23.28
0.08 (0.34%)
▲
5d:
+0.69%
30d:
+0.87%
90d:
+5.82%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Get Alerted When CSWC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CSWC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CSWC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.22
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSWC is currently trading at $23.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.05 to $23.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSWC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CSWC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSWC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CSWC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.05 -
$23.48
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.90)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.05 -
$23.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.84
Resistance Level
$23.80
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.22
Wall Street Target
$24.90
(+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.7%
Profit Margin
48.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.42
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$23.56
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$23.70
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.20
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -4.9%)
$42.72
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: -4.9%)
$20.04
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: -4.9%)
$17.03
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.90
Bull Case
$30.60
(+31%)
Analyst growth 19.9%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case
$27.82
(+20%)
Market implied 19.9%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case
$15.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:32 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CSWC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co. Inc. |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$126 | 54 HOLD |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$150 | 60 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$49 | 61 BUY |
|
DBRG
Digitalbridge Group Inc |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$16 | 65 BUY |
|
TSLX
Sixth Street Specialty L… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$20 | 55 HOLD |
