CSWC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSWC - Capital Southwest Corp
$23.65
-0.19 (-0.80%)
▼
5d:
-0.55%
30d:
+0.3%
90d:
+3.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
Get Alerted When CSWC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSWC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSWC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.44
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSWC is currently trading at $23.65, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.14 to $23.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSWC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CSWC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSWC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CSWC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$23.14 -
$23.72
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.90)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.14 -
$23.72
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.84
Resistance Level
$23.80
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.38
Wall Street Target
$24.90
(+5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.7%
Profit Margin
48.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.91
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$24.17
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$24.44
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.78
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -4.9%)
$42.72
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: -4.9%)
$20.36
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: -4.9%)
$17.30
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.90
Bull Case
$31.45
(+33%)
Analyst growth 19.9%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$28.59
(+21%)
Market implied 19.9%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$16.21
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CSWC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$150 | 56 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$49 | 57 HOLD |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$142 | 62 BUY |
|
OWL
Blue Owl Capital Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$12 | 61 BUY |
|
CRBG
Corebridge Financial Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$36 | 61 BUY |
