CWCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CWCO - Consolidated Water Co Inc
$29.44
0.42 (1.45%)
▲
5d:
-1.31%
30d:
+1.38%
90d:
-9.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CWCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CWCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.57
23.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CWCO is currently trading at $29.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.17 to $30.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.3) is in line with its historical norms (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWCO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+46.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWCO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+46.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$29.17 -
$30.21
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.1% below Wall St target ($43.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.17 -
$30.21
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.18
Resistance Level
$30.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.30
Wall Street Target
$43.00
(+46.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.6%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 22.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.65
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$27.87
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$27.12
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→22)
$29.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 54.3%)
$106.59
(+262%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.3, Growth: 54.3%)
$99.36
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 54.3%)
$84.46
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.09
Bull Case
$42.47
(+44%)
Analyst growth 33.0%, PE expands to 29.3
Base Case
$38.60
(+31%)
Market implied 33.0%, PE stable at 26.6
Bear Case
$19.73
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.3 to 22.0
Stabilization Target:
$31.90
(+8.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 8:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CWCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Maria Elena Giner
BUY
3310 shares
2026-03-19
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