CWCO Consolidated Water Co Inc WATER SUPPLY

Consolidated Water (CWCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$25.75
-0.47 (-1.79%) ▼
5d: -5.99% 30d: -14.96% 90d: -17.84%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (87%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$26.68 – $29.61
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.9x CHEAP
vs 21.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$43.00
+67.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
31th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$25.00 / $28.13
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: CWCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.68
27.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CWCO is currently trading at $25.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.68 to $29.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.9) compared to its historical average (21.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CWCO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: CWCO scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+67.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $26.68 - $29.61
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 31th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 86.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $26.68 - $29.61
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.40 (9.3%)
Support Level $25.00
Resistance Level $28.13
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 31th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 67.0% below Wall St target ($43.00)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.0% 5-day decline

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.93
Wall Street Target $43.00 (+67.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -57.0%
Profit Margin 10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 18.9 vs 21.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $24.59 (-5%)
2-Year Target $23.48 (-9%)
3-Year Target $22.43 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→22) $25.70 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 47.8%) $87.25 (+239%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 47.8%) $83.18 (+223%)
Bear: (PE: 16.1, Growth: 47.8%) $70.70 (+175%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case $47.26 (+84%)
Analyst growth 63.9%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case $42.96 (+67%)
Market implied 63.9%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case $17.83 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.9 to 21.7
Stabilization Target: $29.51 (+14.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +14.6%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CWCO)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bullish sentiment on StockTwits regarding a limited notice of tender offer for $CWCO's Series A and Series B convertible preferred stock, as reported on Yahoo Finance.
Key Retail Themes: tender offer convertible preferred stock
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive CWCO Research Pages
CWCO Technical Chart CWCO Price Prediction CWCO Intrinsic Value DCF CWCO Earnings Date CWCO Investment Advisor CWCO Fair Price Analyzer CWCO Options Chain CWCO Options Advisor CWCO Options Analysis CWCO Competitors
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