Consolidated Water (CWCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CWCO - Consolidated Water Co Inc
$28.16
0.12 (0.43%)
▲
5d:
-2.83%
30d:
-10.63%
90d:
-6.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CWCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CWCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.00
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.01
21.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CWCO is currently trading at $28.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.83 to $30.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.7) is in line with its historical norms (21.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWCO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CWCO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+52.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWCO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CWCO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+52.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$28.83 -
$30.77
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.7% below Wall St target ($43.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.83 -
$30.77
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.86
Resistance Level
$30.47
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.71
Wall Street Target
$43.00
(+52.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.7%
Profit Margin
12.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.7 vs 21.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.62
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$27.10
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$26.59
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$28.12
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 47.8%)
$90.97
(+223%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 47.8%)
$88.61
(+215%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 47.8%)
$75.32
(+168%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.01
Bull Case
$41.53
(+48%)
Analyst growth 34.7%, PE expands to 30.5
Base Case
$37.76
(+34%)
Market implied 34.7%, PE stable at 27.8
Bear Case
$19.07
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.7 to 21.9
Stabilization Target:
$29.78
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CWCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Maria Elena Giner
BUY
3310 shares
2026-03-19
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