Consolidated Water (CWCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CWCO - Consolidated Water Co Inc
$30.15
1.34 (4.65%)
▲
5d:
+8.22%
30d:
+4.07%
90d:
+3.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CWCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CWCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.85
15.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CWCO is currently trading at $30.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.95 to $29.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.2) is in line with its historical norms (21.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWCO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: CWCO scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+42.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWCO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: CWCO scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+42.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.95 -
$29.54
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
36.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 42.6% below Wall St target ($43.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with -2.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.95 -
$29.54
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.23
Resistance Level
$30.19
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.17
Wall Street Target
$43.00
(+42.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.7%
Profit Margin
12.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
22.2 vs 21.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.30
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$30.45
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$30.60
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.09
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.2, Growth: 47.8%)
$97.40
(+223%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 47.8%)
$89.62
(+197%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 47.8%)
$76.18
(+153%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.05
Bull Case
$41.05
(+36%)
Analyst growth 29.5%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case
$37.32
(+24%)
Market implied 29.5%, PE stable at 27.4
Bear Case
$19.59
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CWCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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