DAVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAVA - Endava plc American Depositary Shares (each representing one Class A Ordinary Share)
$3.06
-0.06 (-1.92%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.67%
30d:
+5.15%
90d:
+9.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DAVA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DAVA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.77
18.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAVA is currently trading at $3.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.95 to $3.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.8) is in line with its historical norms (4.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DAVA scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.55 (+81.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DAVA scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.55 (+81.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$2.95 -
$3.20
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 81.2% below Wall St target ($5.55)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.95 -
$3.20
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.00
Resistance Level
$3.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.81
Wall Street Target
$5.55
(+81.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.4%
Profit Margin
-56.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 4.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.04
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$3.02
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$3.01
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5â5)
$3.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 37.2%)
$33.26
(+987%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: 37.2%)
$7.90
(+158%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.1, Growth: 37.2%)
$6.72
(+120%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 4.9
Stabilization Target:
$3.12
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 04, 2026 6:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ben Druskin
SELL
486 shares
2026-04-01
David Alexander Pattillo
SELL
538 shares
2026-04-01
Kathryn A Hollister
SELL
264 shares
2026-04-01
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