DAVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAVA - Endava plc American Depositary Shares (each representing one Class A Ordinary Share)
$2.91
0.08 (2.83%)
▲
5d:
-6.73%
30d:
-4.9%
90d:
+4.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 17, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DAVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DAVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.77
22.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAVA is currently trading at $2.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.98 to $3.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.6) is in line with its historical norms (4.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.76, while resistance sits at $3.39.
Market Sentiment: DAVA scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.53 (+90.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.76, while resistance sits at $3.39.
Market Sentiment: DAVA scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.53 (+90.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.98 -
$3.20
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 90.1% below Wall St target ($5.53)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.98 -
$3.20
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.76
Resistance Level
$3.39
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.57
Wall Street Target
$5.53
(+90.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.4%
Profit Margin
-56.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.6 vs 4.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.85
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$2.78
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$2.72
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$2.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 37.2%)
$33.16
(+1040%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.6, Growth: 37.2%)
$7.51
(+158%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.9, Growth: 37.2%)
$6.39
(+120%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.6 to 4.9
Stabilization Target:
$3.12
(+7.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 12:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ben Druskin
SELL
486 shares
2026-04-01
David Alexander Pattillo
SELL
538 shares
2026-04-01
Kathryn A Hollister
SELL
264 shares
2026-04-01
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