DAVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAVA - Endava plc American Depositary Shares (each representing one Class A Ordinary Share)
$3.19
0.12 (3.91%)
▲
5d:
+2.9%
30d:
+15.58%
90d:
-4.49%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DAVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DAVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.77
15.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAVA is currently trading at $3.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.80 to $3.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.0) is in line with its historical norms (4.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: DAVA scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.59 (+75.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: DAVA scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.59 (+75.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$2.80 -
$3.09
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
36.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 75.4% below Wall St target ($5.59)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.8% growth with -8.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.80 -
$3.09
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.91
Resistance Level
$3.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.01
Wall Street Target
$5.59
(+75.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.4%
Profit Margin
-56.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
5.0 vs 4.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.22
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$3.24
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$3.27
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.20
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 37.2%)
$33.00
(+934%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.0, Growth: 37.2%)
$8.24
(+158%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.3, Growth: 37.2%)
$7.00
(+120%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ben Druskin
SELL
486 shares
2026-04-01
David Alexander Pattillo
SELL
538 shares
2026-04-01
Kathryn A Hollister
SELL
264 shares
2026-04-01
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