DAVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DAVA - Endava plc American Depositary Shares (each representing one Class A Ordinary Share)

Services-Computer Programming Services
$1.92
0.00 (0.00%) ▲
5d: +6.08%
30d: -37.25%
90d: -34.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 01, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DAVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.70
48.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DAVA is currently trading at $1.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.24 to $3.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.0) compared to its historical average (4.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.60, while resistance sits at $2.90.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.27 (+174.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $2.24 - $3.30
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 174.6% below Wall St target ($5.27)
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $2.24 - $3.30
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.60
Resistance Level $2.90
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.02
Wall Street Target $5.27 (+174.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -21.4%
Profit Margin -56.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -14.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 3.0 vs 4.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -14.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1.73 (-10%)
2-Year Target $1.56 (-19%)
3-Year Target $1.40 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3→5) $2.23 (+16%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 37.2%) $33.54 (+1647%)
Base: (SPY PE: 3.0, Growth: 37.2%) $4.96 (+158%)
Bear: (PE: 2.6, Growth: 37.2%) $4.21 (+120%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.0 to 4.8
Stabilization Target: $3.06 (+59.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +59.2%
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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