DAVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAVA - Endava plc American Depositary Shares (each representing one Class A Ordinary Share)
$2.97
-0.22 (-6.90%)
▼
5d:
-10.0%
30d:
-28.78%
90d:
-43.96%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DAVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DAVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.24
29.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAVA is currently trading at $2.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.37 to $4.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.3) compared to its historical average (5.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: DAVA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.66 (+90.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: DAVA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.66 (+90.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.37 -
$4.17
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 90.6% below Wall St target ($5.66)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.37 -
$4.17
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.94
Resistance Level
$4.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.32
Wall Street Target
$5.66
(+90.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.4%
Profit Margin
-56.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.3 vs 5.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.81
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$2.65
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$2.51
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$2.96
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 48.1%)
$48.93
(+1547%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: 48.1%)
$9.66
(+225%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.7, Growth: 48.1%)
$8.21
(+176%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.3 to 5.1
Stabilization Target:
$3.50
(+17.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ben Druskin
SELL
486 shares
2026-04-01
David Alexander Pattillo
SELL
538 shares
2026-04-01
Kathryn A Hollister
SELL
264 shares
2026-04-01
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