DDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DDS - Dillards Inc.
$567.85
-1.51 (-0.27%)
▼
5d:
+0.37%
30d:
+2.9%
90d:
-0.2%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DDS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DDS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$455.88
Based on -5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$283.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DDS is currently trading at $567.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $552.62 to $606.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.3) is in line with its historical norms (21.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $579.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $579.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$552.62 -
$606.35
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($537.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$552.62 -
$606.35
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$579.59
Resistance Level
$630.78
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.34
Wall Street Target
$537.00
(-5.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.5%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 21.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$558.20
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$548.71
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$539.38
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$567.53
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -14.1%)
$443.30
(+-22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.3, Growth: -14.1%)
$413.96
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -14.1%)
$351.87
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $42.08
Bull Case
$415.55
(-27%)
Analyst growth -33.7%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$377.77
(-34%)
Market implied -33.7%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$387.16
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.3 to 21.4
Stabilization Target:
$597.49
(+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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