DDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DDS - Dillards Inc.
$524.08
-1.43 (-0.27%)
▼
5d:
+0.5%
30d:
-14.68%
90d:
-11.73%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DDS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DDS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$453.75
Based on -5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$281.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DDS is currently trading at $524.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $525.95 to $591.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (21.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $579.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DDS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $579.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DDS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$525.95 -
$591.99
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($537.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$525.95 -
$591.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$579.59
Resistance Level
$630.78
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.82
Wall Street Target
$537.00
(+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.5%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 21.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$504.49
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$484.31
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$464.94
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$526.15
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -14.1%)
$443.30
(+-16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: -14.1%)
$383.10
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: -14.1%)
$325.63
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $42.06
Bull Case
$382.46
(-27%)
Analyst growth -33.6%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$347.69
(-34%)
Market implied -33.6%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$356.17
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 21.3
Stabilization Target:
$594.70
(+13.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 11:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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