DDS
Dillards Inc.
RETAIL-DEPARTMENT STORES
Dillards (DDS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$598.89
-19.39 (-3.14%)
▼
5d:
-3.74%
30d:
-8.61%
90d:
+6.78%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (68%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$625.06 – $679.73
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
21.5x
FAIR
vs 21.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$545.67
-8.9% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$586.30 / $671.33
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: DDS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$462.27
Based on -5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$287.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DDS is currently trading at $598.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $625.06 to $679.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.4) is in line with its historical norms (21.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $586.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $586.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$625.06 -
$679.73
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$625.06 -
$679.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$586.30
Resistance Level
$671.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($545.67)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.45
Wall Street Target
$545.67
(-8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.1%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.5 vs 21.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$596.49
(0%)
2-Year Target
$594.11
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$591.73
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$598.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.5, Growth: -14.1%)
$436.59
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -14.1%)
$404.22
(-33%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -14.1%)
$343.59
(-43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $43.64
Bull Case
$435.12
(-27%)
Analyst growth -36.0%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$395.56
(-34%)
Market implied -36.0%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$420.43
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.5 to 21.7
Stabilization Target:
$605.86
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DDS)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Dillard's (DDS) reported fiscal third-quarter earnings of $130.9 million, beating analysts' expectations with earnings per share of $8.38.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings beat
Wall Street expectations
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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