Dillards (DDS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DDS - Dillards Inc.
$654.11
7.76 (1.20%)
â˛
5d:
-1.5%
30d:
+2.74%
90d:
+26.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DDS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DDS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$458.01
Based on -5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$284.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DDS is currently trading at $654.11, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $629.30 to $660.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.4) is in line with its historical norms (21.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $632.12, while resistance sits at $702.30.
Market Sentiment: DDS scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $545.67. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $632.12, while resistance sits at $702.30.
Market Sentiment: DDS scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $545.67. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$629.30 -
$660.42
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
34.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 16.6% above Wall St target ($545.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$629.30 -
$660.42
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$632.12
Resistance Level
$702.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.43
Wall Street Target
$545.67
(-16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.1%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
23.4 vs 21.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$673.73
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$693.95
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$714.76
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23â22)
PE COMPRESSION
$655.94
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.4, Growth: -14.1%)
$476.85
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -14.1%)
$415.22
(-37%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -14.1%)
$352.93
(-46%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $42.08
Bull Case
$471.74
(-28%)
Analyst growth -33.7%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$428.85
(-34%)
Market implied -33.7%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$439.52
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 5:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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