DDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DDS - Dillards Inc.
$621.63
23.69 (3.96%)
▲
5d:
+10.83%
30d:
+10.81%
90d:
+12.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DDS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DDS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$451.62
Based on -5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$280.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DDS is currently trading at $621.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $563.44 to $621.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.3) is in line with its historical norms (21.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $556.84, while resistance sits at $651.86. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $545.67. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $556.84, while resistance sits at $651.86. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $545.67. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$563.44 -
$621.20
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading 12.2% above Wall St target ($545.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$563.44 -
$621.20
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$556.84
Resistance Level
$651.86
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.26
Wall Street Target
$545.67
(-12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.3%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
22.3 vs 21.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$631.58
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$641.68
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$651.95
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$620.77
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -14.1%)
$453.17
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -14.1%)
$408.50
(-34%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -14.1%)
$347.22
(-44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $42.39
Bull Case
$433.21
(-30%)
Analyst growth -34.1%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$393.83
(-37%)
Market implied -34.1%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$406.60
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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