Dillards (DDS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DDS - Dillards Inc.
$695.68
-23.93 (-3.33%)
▼
5d:
+4.89%
30d:
+6.73%
90d:
+21.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DDS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DDS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$460.14
Based on -5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$285.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DDS is currently trading at $695.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $639.99 to $680.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.9) compared to its historical average (21.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $618.64, while resistance sits at $727.12. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: DDS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $545.67. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $618.64, while resistance sits at $727.12. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: DDS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $545.67. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$639.99 -
$680.60
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
13.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BEARISH: Trading 21.6% above Wall St target ($545.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.8% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$639.99 -
$680.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$618.64
Resistance Level
$727.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.92
Wall Street Target
$545.67
(-21.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.1%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.8% premium
PE vs Historical
24.9 vs 21.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$729.07
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$764.07
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$800.74
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$694.15
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.9, Growth: -14.1%)
$507.15
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -14.1%)
$404.22
(-42%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -14.1%)
$343.59
(-51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $45.73
Bull Case
$483.29
(-31%)
Analyst growth -38.9%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$439.35
(-37%)
Market implied -38.9%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$489.34
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 1:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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