DLO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DLO - DLocal Limited Class A Common Shares
$14.92
-0.27 (-1.78%)
▼
5d:
-2.16%
30d:
+26.66%
90d:
+13.72%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
29d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DLO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DLO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.28
18.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DLO is currently trading at $14.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.82 to $14.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DLO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.54, while resistance sits at $15.51.
Market Sentiment: DLO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.85 (+19.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DLO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.54, while resistance sits at $15.51.
Market Sentiment: DLO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.85 (+19.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.82 -
$14.34
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.85)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.82 -
$14.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.55
Resistance Level
$15.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.22
Wall Street Target
$17.85
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
54.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.85
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$14.77
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$14.70
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$14.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 31.8%)
$56.32
(+278%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 31.8%)
$34.19
(+129%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 31.8%)
$29.06
(+95%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$29.46
(+97%)
Analyst growth 76.3%, PE expands to 26.1
Base Case
$26.78
(+80%)
Market implied 76.3%, PE stable at 23.7
Bear Case
$10.33
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$15.12
(+1.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 4:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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