DLO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DLO - DLocal Limited Class A Common Shares
$12.13
-0.09 (-0.70%)
▼
5d:
-4.23%
30d:
-0.94%
90d:
-4.68%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DLO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DLO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.02
32.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DLO is currently trading at $12.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.48 to $12.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DLO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.46, while resistance sits at $12.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.35 (+42.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DLO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.46, while resistance sits at $12.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.35 (+42.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.48 -
$12.39
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.1% below Wall St target ($17.35)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.48 -
$12.39
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.46
Resistance Level
$12.99
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.06
Wall Street Target
$17.35
(+42.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
54.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 13.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.42
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$10.67
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$9.98
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$12.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.3%)
$50.76
(+316%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 28.3%)
$25.77
(+111%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 28.3%)
$21.91
(+79%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$24.27
(+99%)
Analyst growth 72.5%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case
$22.07
(+81%)
Market implied 72.5%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$8.70
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$14.91
(+22.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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