DOX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DOX - Amdocs Limited
$55.72
0.44 (0.80%)
▲
5d:
+6.95%
30d:
+8.87%
90d:
-13.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
2d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DOX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DOX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.19
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.62
1.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DOX is currently trading at $55.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.80 to $53.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.9) compared to its historical average (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DOX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.21 (+45.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DOX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.21 (+45.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$50.80 -
$53.88
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.7% below Wall St target ($81.21)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.80 -
$53.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.74
Resistance Level
$57.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.91
Wall Street Target
$81.21
(+45.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.6%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 8.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.32
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$49.13
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$46.13
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$55.40
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 8.8%)
$215.38
(+287%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 8.8%)
$71.81
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 8.8%)
$61.04
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.01
Bull Case
$97.85
(+76%)
Analyst growth 60.9%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$88.95
(+60%)
Market implied 60.9%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$37.59
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.9 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$66.91
(+20.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 12:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DOX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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