DOX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DOX - Amdocs Limited
$61.40
0.50 (0.82%)
▲
5d:
+5.46%
30d:
+20.75%
90d:
-1.54%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DOX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DOX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.38
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DOX is currently trading at $61.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.58 to $58.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.7) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DOX scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.94 (+23.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DOX scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.94 (+23.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$52.58 -
$58.72
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DOX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.7% below Wall St target ($75.94)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.58 -
$58.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.30
Resistance Level
$62.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.66
Wall Street Target
$75.94
(+23.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.4%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.93
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$58.49
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$57.08
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$61.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$203.66
(+232%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 8.2%)
$77.69
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 8.2%)
$66.04
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.26
Bull Case
$126.12
(+105%)
Analyst growth 88.3%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$114.65
(+87%)
Market implied 88.3%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$41.41
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$65.76
(+7.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 4:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DOX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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