DOX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DOX - Amdocs Limited
$51.91
-0.08 (-0.15%)
▼
5d:
+0.31%
30d:
-10.47%
90d:
-19.38%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DOX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DOX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.39
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.98
10.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DOX is currently trading at $51.91, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.12 to $59.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.4) compared to its historical average (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.21 (+56.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.21 (+56.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$51.12 -
$59.91
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.4% below Wall St target ($81.21)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.12 -
$59.91
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.59
Resistance Level
$65.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.44
Wall Street Target
$81.21
(+56.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.6%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 8.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.29
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$43.08
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$39.25
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$51.81
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$226.29
(+336%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: 8.8%)
$66.90
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: 8.8%)
$56.87
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.01
Bull Case
$92.02
(+77%)
Analyst growth 60.9%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$83.66
(+61%)
Market implied 60.9%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$35.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 8.5
Stabilization Target:
$68.52
(+32.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DOX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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