DOX Amdocs Limited Services-Computer Programming Services Best Software Development Stocks 2026 →

Amdocs (DOX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$42.17
+0.70 (+1.70%) ▲
5d: -3.42% 30d: -28.56% 90d: -28.12%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$50.34 – $64.69
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.2x CHEAP
vs 8.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$57.33
+38.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$39.96 / $64.58
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: DOX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.31
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.59
21.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DOX is currently trading at $42.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.34 to $64.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.2) compared to its historical average (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DOX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.96, while resistance sits at $64.58.

Market Sentiment: DOX scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.33 (+38.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $50.34 - $64.69
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $50.34 - $64.69
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $39.96
Resistance Level $64.58
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 38.3% below Wall St target ($57.33)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.16
Wall Street Target $57.33 (+38.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 54.0%
Profit Margin 10.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -13.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 5.2 vs 8.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -13.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $37.31 (-10%)
2-Year Target $33.58 (-19%)
3-Year Target $30.22 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 5→8) $46.82 (+13%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.2%) $201.82 (+387%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.2, Growth: 8.2%) $52.48 (+27%)
Bear: (PE: 4.4, Growth: 8.2%) $44.61 (+8%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.68
Bull Case $78.76 (+90%)
Analyst growth 71.5%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case $71.60 (+73%)
Market implied 71.5%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case $28.38 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.2 to 8.0
Stabilization Target: $64.23 (+54.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +54.9%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DOX)

Bearish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Amdocs ($DOX) forecasts a significant decrease in adjusted earnings per share for fiscal year 2027, reversing the growth trend from fiscal year 2026.
Key Retail Themes: earnings growth reversal trend
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:39 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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