DUK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DUK - Duke Energy Corporation
$123.52
-0.34 (-0.27%)
▼
5d:
-1.16%
30d:
-0.23%
90d:
-2.59%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DUK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DUK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$166.37
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$103.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DUK is currently trading at $123.52, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $122.04 to $125.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DUK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $125.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DUK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.56 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DUK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $125.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DUK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.56 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$122.04 -
$125.23
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($138.56)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$122.04 -
$125.23
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$119.76
Resistance Level
$125.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.27
Wall Street Target
$138.56
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 17.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$122.62
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$121.40
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$120.18
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$123.84
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.9%)
$191.04
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 6.9%)
$151.52
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 6.9%)
$128.79
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.50
Bull Case
$150.14
(+21%)
Analyst growth 10.3%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$136.49
(+10%)
Market implied 10.3%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$84.14
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.3 to 17.8
Stabilization Target:
$127.63
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 22, 2026 3:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DUK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Regis T Repko
SELL
962 shares
2026-02-24
Louis E Renjel
SELL
6800 shares
2026-02-12
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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