Duke Energy (DUK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$127.75
-1.19 (-0.92%)
▼
5d:
-1.42%
30d:
+8.09%
90d:
+2.62%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect DUK Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$117.97 – $127.70
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.0x
FAIR
vs 17.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$132.26
+2.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$123.45 / $132.99
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DUK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $127.78 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$161.25
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DUK is currently trading at $127.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $117.97 to $127.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (17.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DUK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $123.45, while resistance sits at $132.99.
Market Sentiment: DUK scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DUK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $123.45, while resistance sits at $132.99.
Market Sentiment: DUK scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$117.97 -
$127.70
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$117.97 -
$127.70
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$123.45
Resistance Level
$132.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding DUK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($132.26)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.98
Wall Street Target
$132.26
(+2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 17.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$130.10
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$131.27
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$132.45
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$128.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.3%)
$171.23
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 6.3%)
$155.06
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 6.3%)
$131.80
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.84
Bull Case
$147.70
(+15%)
Analyst growth 4.8%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$134.27
(+4%)
Market implied 4.8%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$87.11
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DUK)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment dominates $DUK discussion on StockTwits due to concerns over Duke Energy's AI hyper-scale data center development against community wishes. The latest Yahoo Finance article focuses on three blue-chip dividend payers, including Duke Energy, generating passive income for retirees.
Key Retail Themes:
Community opposition to Duke Energy's data center development
Blue-chip dividend payers generating income for retirees
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 12:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DUK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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