Duke Energy (DUK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DUK - Duke Energy Corporation
$113.74
-0.27 (-0.24%)
▼
5d:
+0.45%
30d:
-5.52%
90d:
-12.24%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DUK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DUK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$164.53
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DUK is currently trading at $113.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $115.24 to $121.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DUK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $112.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $136.94 (+20.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DUK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $112.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $136.94 (+20.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$115.24 -
$121.14
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DUK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.4% below Wall St target ($136.94)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$115.24 -
$121.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$112.40
Resistance Level
$118.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.86
Wall Street Target
$136.94
(+20.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.99
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$106.36
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$102.85
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$114.13
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$178.57
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 6.9%)
$138.83
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 6.9%)
$118.00
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.62
Bull Case
$135.86
(+19%)
Analyst growth 8.3%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$123.51
(+9%)
Market implied 8.3%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$77.53
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$126.22
(+11.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DUK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced DUK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DUK price and gamma walls.
