Duke Energy (DUK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DUK - Duke Energy Corporation
$123.74
3.07 (2.54%)
▲
5d:
+4.09%
30d:
+8.38%
90d:
-5.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 13, 2026 at $118.02 · last confirmed Oct 20, 2026
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DUK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DUK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$162.76
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DUK is currently trading at $123.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $114.27 to $119.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DUK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $121.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DUK scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $133.11 (+10.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DUK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $121.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DUK scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $133.11 (+10.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$114.27 -
$119.72
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DUK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($133.11)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$114.27 -
$119.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$114.87
Resistance Level
$121.74
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.83
Wall Street Target
$133.11
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 17.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$119.10
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$117.55
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$116.02
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$120.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.7%)
$173.11
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 6.7%)
$146.74
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 6.7%)
$124.73
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.75
Bull Case
$141.73
(+18%)
Analyst growth 6.2%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$128.85
(+7%)
Market implied 6.2%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$82.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 17.5
Stabilization Target:
$125.45
(+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DUK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced DUK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DUK price and gamma walls.
