EDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDN - Empresa Distribuidora Y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (Edenor)
$22.30
0.18 (0.81%)
▲
5d:
-3.63%
30d:
-16.13%
90d:
-10.8%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EDN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EDN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$69.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.26
48.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDN is currently trading at $22.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.16 to $26.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EDN scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.50 (+72.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EDN scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.50 (+72.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.16 -
$26.34
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 72.6% below Wall St target ($38.50)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 13% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.16 -
$26.34
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.98
Resistance Level
$25.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.35
Wall Street Target
$38.50
(+72.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.8%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 13.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.07
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$18.06
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$16.26
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→13)
$26.08
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 1466.0%)
$180.86
(+711%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 1466.0%)
$75.26
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 1466.0%)
$63.97
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38
Bull Case
$19.22
(-14%)
Analyst growth -21.0%, PE expands to 7.2
Base Case
$17.47
(-22%)
Market implied -21.0%, PE stable at 6.5
Bear Case
$15.04
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$35.78
(+60.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+60.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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