EDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDN - Empresa Distribuidora Y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (Edenor)
$25.45
-1.18 (-4.43%)
▼
5d:
-11.45%
30d:
+1.8%
90d:
-13.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EDN is down 11.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EDN is down 11.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$138.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.85
70.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDN is currently trading at $25.45, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.89 to $27.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (200.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 64.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 147.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.48, while resistance sits at $29.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+45.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.48, while resistance sits at $29.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+45.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$24.89 -
$27.79
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.4% below Wall St target ($37.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.89 -
$27.79
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.48
Resistance Level
$29.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.96
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+45.4%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
147.5%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-64.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 200.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-64.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$20.61
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$18.55
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→201)
$415.11
(+1531%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 1036.0%)
$208.76
(+720%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 1036.0%)
$85.89
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 1036.0%)
$73.01
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.83
Bull Case
$17.22
(-32%)
Analyst growth -41.2%, PE expands to 6.1
Base Case
$15.66
(-39%)
Market implied -41.2%, PE stable at 5.5
Bear Case
$18.11
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 200.5
Stabilization Target:
$569.42
(+2137.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2137.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 6:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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