EDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDN - Empresa Distribuidora Y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (Edenor)
$24.48
-0.59 (-2.35%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.08%
30d:
+7.84%
90d:
-13.71%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EDN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EDN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDN is currently trading at $24.48, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.88 to $24.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.0) compared to its historical average (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.10, while resistance sits at $25.55.
Market Sentiment: EDN scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.50 (+57.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.10, while resistance sits at $25.55.
Market Sentiment: EDN scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.50 (+57.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$22.88 -
$24.80
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.3% below Wall St target ($38.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.9% growth with 10.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.88 -
$24.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.10
Resistance Level
$25.55
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.98
Wall Street Target
$38.50
(+57.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.8%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.9% premium
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 13.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.90
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$29.57
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$32.49
(+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.40
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 698.5%)
$92.68
(+279%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 698.5%)
$82.62
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 698.5%)
$62.03
(+153%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.35
Bull Case
$13.79
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 8.2
Base Case
$12.54
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 7.5
Bear Case
$17.05
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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