EDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDN - Empresa Distribuidora Y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (Edenor)
$24.58
-0.84 (-3.30%)
▼
5d:
-3.15%
30d:
-5.21%
90d:
-14.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EDN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 27.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EDN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 27.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$123.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.92
68.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDN is currently trading at $24.58, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.48 to $27.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 27.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 147.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+50.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+50.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$24.48 -
$27.17
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 50.5% below Wall St target ($37.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.48 -
$27.17
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.48
Resistance Level
$29.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.65
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+50.5%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
147.5%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-27.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 22.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-27.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.12
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$19.91
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$17.92
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→22)
$46.38
(+89%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 1036.0%)
$208.76
(+749%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 1036.0%)
$82.96
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 1036.0%)
$70.51
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.79
Bull Case
$16.58
(-33%)
Analyst growth -40.7%, PE expands to 5.8
Base Case
$15.07
(-39%)
Market implied -40.7%, PE stable at 5.3
Bear Case
$17.29
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 22.4
Stabilization Target:
$63.62
(+158.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+158.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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