EDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDN - Empresa Distribuidora Y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (Edenor)
$26.83
-0.42 (-1.54%)
▼
5d:
+4.36%
30d:
+9.64%
90d:
+7.11%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EDN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EDN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.69
47.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDN is currently trading at $26.83, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.44 to $26.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (15.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 147.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EDN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.00 (+49.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EDN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.00 (+49.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.44 -
$26.25
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.1% below Wall St target ($40.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.44 -
$26.25
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.43
Resistance Level
$27.59
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.05
Wall Street Target
$40.00
(+49.1%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
147.5%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 15.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.15
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$21.73
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$19.56
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→16)
$30.56
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 1060.9%)
$186.80
(+596%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 1060.9%)
$90.55
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 1060.9%)
$76.97
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.05
Bull Case
$15.85
(-41%)
Analyst growth -47.1%, PE expands to 5.9
Base Case
$14.41
(-46%)
Market implied -47.1%, PE stable at 5.4
Bear Case
$18.53
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 15.7
Stabilization Target:
$41.92
(+56.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+56.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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