EDN
Empresa Distribuidora Y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (Edenor)
Electric Services
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EDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$14.55
+0.11 (+0.76%)
▲
5d:
-2.35%
30d:
-29.61%
90d:
-38.84%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$15.40 – $20.37
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.5x
CHEAP
vs 13.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$37.50
+157.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$13.56 / $17.10
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EDN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.88
67.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDN is currently trading at $14.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.40 to $20.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.5) compared to its historical average (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 26.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.56, while resistance sits at $17.09.
Market Sentiment: EDN scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.50 (+157.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.56, while resistance sits at $17.09.
Market Sentiment: EDN scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.50 (+157.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.40 -
$20.37
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$15.40 -
$20.37
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$13.56
Resistance Level
$17.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 157.7% below Wall St target ($37.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.45
Wall Street Target
$37.50
(+157.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
51.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-26.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.5 vs 13.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-26.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.10
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.79
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.61
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→14)
$27.06
(+86%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1060.9%)
$178.96
(+1130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.4, Growth: 1060.9%)
$49.11
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.6, Growth: 1060.9%)
$41.74
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.27
Bull Case
$9.86
(-32%)
Analyst growth -37.5%, PE expands to 3.7
Base Case
$8.97
(-38%)
Market implied -37.5%, PE stable at 3.4
Bear Case
$9.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.4 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$37.11
(+155.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+155.1%
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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