EDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDN - Empresa Distribuidora Y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (Edenor)
$20.21
0.15 (0.77%)
▲
5d:
-5.23%
30d:
-18.89%
90d:
-20.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EDN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EDN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.65
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.38
13.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDN is currently trading at $20.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.70 to $24.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EDN scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.50 (+92.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EDN scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.50 (+92.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.70 -
$24.69
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 92.0% below Wall St target ($38.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with 10.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.70 -
$24.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.03
Resistance Level
$24.23
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.73
Wall Street Target
$38.50
(+92.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.8%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.31
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$20.57
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$20.84
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.10
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 698.5%)
$93.74
(+368%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 698.5%)
$67.67
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 698.5%)
$57.52
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.32
Bull Case
$11.48
(-43%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 6.9
Base Case
$10.43
(-48%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 6.3
Bear Case
$14.19
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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