EDU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDU - New Oriental Education and Technology Group, Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing ten (10) Common Shares)
$55.80
0.89 (1.62%)
â˛
5d:
+6.2%
30d:
+13.07%
90d:
+17.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EDU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EDU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.90
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.03
10.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDU is currently trading at $55.80, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.92 to $57.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.0) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $52.01, while resistance sits at $58.19.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.30 (+31.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $52.01, while resistance sits at $58.19.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.30 (+31.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$49.92 -
$57.02
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.4% below Wall St target ($73.30)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.92 -
$57.02
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.01
Resistance Level
$58.19
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.97
Wall Street Target
$73.30
(+31.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
791.4%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.25
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$56.70
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$57.15
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.50
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 22.4%)
$158.28
(+184%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 22.4%)
$102.32
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 22.4%)
$86.97
(+56%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.00
Bull Case
$86.59
(+55%)
Analyst growth 43.4%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$78.72
(+41%)
Market implied 43.4%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$37.34
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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